Basingstoke Town vs Frome Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 42Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Charters Community Stadium, Winchester, Hampshire
The Footlab model makes Frome Town the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for Basingstoke Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Basingstoke Town vs Frome Town?
Frome Town starts as the favourite with a 171-point Elo edge (1,914 vs 1,743).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Basingstoke Town have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Frome Town have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bath City(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Poole Town(away) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Hanwell Town(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Evesham United(home) | 2-4 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Hanwell Town(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Gosport Borough(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Havant & Wville(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Evesham United(away) | 4-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Wimborne Town(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Weymouth(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Basingstoke Town win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Frome Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2025 | Basingstoke Town 0-1 Frome Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Oct 12, 2024 | Frome Town 1-1 Basingstoke Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Nov 30, 2019 | Frome Town 8-0 Basingstoke Town | Non League Div One - Southern South |
| Oct 4, 2011 | Basingstoke Town 3-0 Frome Town | FA Cup |
| Oct 1, 2011 | Frome Town 0-0 Basingstoke Town | FA Cup |
Last archived meeting: Basingstoke Town vs Frome Town on Mar 22, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Basingstoke Town score 1.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Frome Town score 1.8 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Basingstoke Town | 1.7 | 1.7 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Frome Town | 1.8 | 0.7 | 8 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Basingstoke Town sit 10th in Non League Premier - Southern South (6 points from 4 matches) and Frome Town sit 7th (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Frome Town | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 6 |
| 10 | Basingstoke Town | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Basingstoke Town vs Frome Town?
- The Footlab model makes Frome Town the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for Basingstoke Town.
- Where and when is Basingstoke Town vs Frome Town played?
- Basingstoke Town vs Frome Town is played on April 17, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Charters Community Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 17, 2027UxbridgevsHanworth Villa
- Apr 17, 2027Bracknell TownvsHanwell Town
- Apr 17, 2027Chertsey TownvsBath City
- Apr 17, 2027Chichester CityvsYate Town
- Apr 17, 2027Evesham UnitedvsHavant & Wville
- Apr 17, 2027SholingvsWimborne Town
- Apr 17, 2027Chippenham TownvsTaunton Town
- Apr 17, 2027Gloucester CityvsPoole Town