Gloucester City vs Poole Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 42Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)New Meadow Park, Gloucester, Gloucestershire
The Footlab model makes Gloucester City the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Poole Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gloucester City vs Poole Town?
A very open match: only 41 Elo points separate Gloucester City (1,897) and Poole Town (1,856).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gloucester City have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Poole Town have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hanwell Town(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Wimborne Town(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Bracknell Town(away) | 2-3 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Chertsey Town(home) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Weston-super-Mare(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Berkhamsted(away) | 3-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Basingstoke Town(home) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Sholing(home) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Chichester City(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Jul 14, 2026 | Eastleigh(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 5 Gloucester City win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Poole Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2026 | Gloucester City 3-2 Poole Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Feb 28, 2026 | Poole Town 1-2 Gloucester City | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Gloucester City 3-2 Poole Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Poole Town 0-1 Gloucester City | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Nov 30, 2024 | Gloucester City 4-1 Poole Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
Last archived meeting: Gloucester City vs Poole Town on Apr 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Gloucester City score 1.6 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Poole Town score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gloucester City | 1.6 | 1.2 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Poole Town | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gloucester City sit 15th in Non League Premier - Southern South (4 points from 4 matches) and Poole Town sit 11th (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Poole Town | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 6 |
| 15 | Gloucester City | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gloucester City vs Poole Town?
- The Footlab model makes Gloucester City the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Poole Town.
- Where and when is Gloucester City vs Poole Town played?
- Gloucester City vs Poole Town is played on April 17, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at New Meadow Park, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 17, 2027UxbridgevsHanworth Villa
- Apr 17, 2027Basingstoke TownvsFrome Town
- Apr 17, 2027Bracknell TownvsHanwell Town
- Apr 17, 2027Chertsey TownvsBath City
- Apr 17, 2027Chichester CityvsYate Town
- Apr 17, 2027Evesham UnitedvsHavant & Wville
- Apr 17, 2027SholingvsWimborne Town
- Apr 17, 2027Chippenham TownvsTaunton Town