Match

Chertsey Town vs Plymouth Parkway: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 33Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Alwyns Lane Football Ground, Chertsey, Surrey

Chertsey TownPlymouth Parkway

The Footlab model makes Chertsey Town the favourite at 60%, against 20% for a draw and 20% for Plymouth Parkway. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Chertsey Town vs Plymouth Parkway?

A very open match: only 63 Elo points separate Chertsey Town (1,875) and Plymouth Parkway (1,812).

Chertsey Town win60 %
Draw20 %
Plymouth Parkway win20 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chertsey Town have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Plymouth Parkway have 9, 3 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Chertsey Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Sholing(away)4-2Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 15, 2026Yate Town(home)1-1Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 11, 2026Berkhamsted(home)4-1Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 8, 2026Gloucester City(away)1-0Non League Premier - Southern South
Jul 31, 2026Westfield (Surrey)(home)4-2Friendlies Clubs
Plymouth Parkway
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Havant & Wville(home)2-1Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 15, 2026Chippenham Town(away)2-3Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 11, 2026Bath City(away)1-1Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 8, 2026Bracknell Town(home)7-0Non League Premier - Southern South
Jul 11, 2026Plymouth(home)1-4Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Chertsey Town win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Plymouth Parkway win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 17, 2026Plymouth Parkway 3-1 Chertsey TownNon League Premier - Southern South
Nov 29, 2025Chertsey Town 1-0 Plymouth ParkwayNon League Premier - Southern South
Feb 1, 2025Plymouth Parkway 2-1 Chertsey TownNon League Premier - Southern South
Oct 19, 2024Chertsey Town 1-2 Plymouth ParkwayNon League Premier - Southern South

Last archived meeting: Plymouth Parkway vs Chertsey Town on Mar 17, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Chertsey Town score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Plymouth Parkway score 2.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Chertsey Town1.91.349/159/15
Plymouth Parkway2.51.5410/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Chertsey Town sit 1st in Non League Premier - Southern South (10 points from 4 matches) and Plymouth Parkway sit 5th (7 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Chertsey Town431010410
5Plymouth Parkway42111257

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Chertsey Town vs Plymouth Parkway?
The Footlab model makes Chertsey Town the favourite at 60%, against 20% for a draw and 20% for Plymouth Parkway.
Where and when is Chertsey Town vs Plymouth Parkway played?
Chertsey Town vs Plymouth Parkway is played on February 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Alwyns Lane Football Ground, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Chertsey Town and Plymouth Parkway

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