Basingstoke Town vs Chertsey Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 34Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Charters Community Stadium, Winchester, Hampshire
The Footlab model makes Chertsey Town the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for Basingstoke Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Basingstoke Town vs Chertsey Town?
Chertsey Town starts as the favourite with a 132-point Elo edge (1,875 vs 1,743).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Basingstoke Town have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Chertsey Town have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bath City(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Poole Town(away) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Hanwell Town(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Evesham United(home) | 2-4 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Hanwell Town(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Sholing(away) | 4-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Yate Town(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Berkhamsted(home) | 4-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Gloucester City(away) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Westfield (Surrey)(home) | 4-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Basingstoke Town win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Chertsey Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | Chertsey Town 4-2 Basingstoke Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Oct 14, 2025 | Basingstoke Town 2-1 Chertsey Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Basingstoke Town 1-3 Chertsey Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Nov 12, 2024 | Chertsey Town 3-0 Basingstoke Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Feb 14, 2023 | Basingstoke Town 3-1 Chertsey Town | Non League Div One - Isthmian South Central |
| Sep 23, 2022 | Chertsey Town 0-3 Basingstoke Town | Non League Div One - Isthmian South Central |
Last archived meeting: Chertsey Town vs Basingstoke Town on Mar 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Basingstoke Town score 1.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Chertsey Town score 1.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Basingstoke Town | 1.7 | 1.7 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Chertsey Town | 1.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Basingstoke Town sit 10th in Non League Premier - Southern South (6 points from 4 matches) and Chertsey Town sit 1st (10 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chertsey Town | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 10 |
| 10 | Basingstoke Town | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Basingstoke Town vs Chertsey Town?
- The Footlab model makes Chertsey Town the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for Basingstoke Town.
- Where and when is Basingstoke Town vs Chertsey Town played?
- Basingstoke Town vs Chertsey Town is played on February 27, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Charters Community Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 27, 2027Taunton TownvsHavant & Wville
- Feb 27, 2027BerkhamstedvsGloucester City
- Feb 27, 2027Bracknell TownvsEvesham United
- Feb 27, 2027Chichester CityvsFrome Town
- Feb 27, 2027Hanwell TownvsGosport Borough
- Feb 27, 2027Poole TownvsBath City
- Feb 27, 2027Yate TownvsUxbridge
- Feb 27, 2027Chippenham TownvsWimborne Town