Match

Basingstoke Town vs Chertsey Town: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 34Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Charters Community Stadium, Winchester, Hampshire

Basingstoke TownChertsey Town

The Footlab model makes Chertsey Town the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for Basingstoke Town. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Basingstoke Town vs Chertsey Town?

Chertsey Town starts as the favourite with a 132-point Elo edge (1,875 vs 1,743).

Basingstoke Town win28 %
Draw23 %
Chertsey Town win49 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Basingstoke Town have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Chertsey Town have 9, 2 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Basingstoke Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Bath City(home)1-1Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 15, 2026Poole Town(away)2-0Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 11, 2026Hanwell Town(away)1-2Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 8, 2026Evesham United(home)2-4Non League Premier - Southern South
Apr 25, 2026Hanwell Town(away)1-2Non League Premier - Southern South
Chertsey Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Sholing(away)4-2Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 15, 2026Yate Town(home)1-1Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 11, 2026Berkhamsted(home)4-1Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 8, 2026Gloucester City(away)1-0Non League Premier - Southern South
Jul 31, 2026Westfield (Surrey)(home)4-2Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Basingstoke Town win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Chertsey Town win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 7, 2026Chertsey Town 4-2 Basingstoke TownNon League Premier - Southern South
Oct 14, 2025Basingstoke Town 2-1 Chertsey TownNon League Premier - Southern South
Mar 8, 2025Basingstoke Town 1-3 Chertsey TownNon League Premier - Southern South
Nov 12, 2024Chertsey Town 3-0 Basingstoke TownNon League Premier - Southern South
Feb 14, 2023Basingstoke Town 3-1 Chertsey TownNon League Div One - Isthmian South Central
Sep 23, 2022Chertsey Town 0-3 Basingstoke TownNon League Div One - Isthmian South Central

Last archived meeting: Chertsey Town vs Basingstoke Town on Mar 7, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Basingstoke Town score 1.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Chertsey Town score 1.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Basingstoke Town1.71.7310/1510/15
Chertsey Town1.91.349/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Basingstoke Town sit 10th in Non League Premier - Southern South (6 points from 4 matches) and Chertsey Town sit 1st (10 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Chertsey Town431010410
10Basingstoke Town4202666

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Basingstoke Town vs Chertsey Town?
The Footlab model makes Chertsey Town the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for Basingstoke Town.
Where and when is Basingstoke Town vs Chertsey Town played?
Basingstoke Town vs Chertsey Town is played on February 27, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Charters Community Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Basingstoke Town and Chertsey Town

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