Match

Gloucester City vs Yate Town: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 33Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)New Meadow Park, Gloucester, Gloucestershire

Gloucester CityYate Town

The Footlab model makes Gloucester City the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for Yate Town. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Gloucester City vs Yate Town?

A very open match: only 86 Elo points separate Gloucester City (1,897) and Yate Town (1,811).

Gloucester City win56 %
Draw24 %
Yate Town win21 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gloucester City have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Yate Town have 7, 4 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Gloucester City
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Hanwell Town(home)1-0Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 15, 2026Wimborne Town(away)1-1Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 11, 2026Bracknell Town(away)2-3Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 8, 2026Chertsey Town(home)0-1Non League Premier - Southern South
Jul 31, 2026Weston-super-Mare(away)1-0Friendlies Clubs
Yate Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Bracknell Town(home)2-1Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 15, 2026Chertsey Town(away)1-1Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 11, 2026Chippenham Town(away)1-1Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 8, 2026Gosport Borough(home)1-0Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 1, 2026Leamington(away)1-3Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Gloucester City win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Yate Town win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 18, 2026Yate Town 2-1 Gloucester CityNon League Premier - Southern South
Dec 5, 2025Gloucester City 1-0 Yate TownNon League Premier - Southern South
Oct 16, 2013Gloucester City 7-0 Yate TownFA Cup
Oct 12, 2013Yate Town 2-2 Gloucester CityFA Cup

Last archived meeting: Yate Town vs Gloucester City on Apr 18, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Gloucester City score 1.6 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Yate Town score 1.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Gloucester City1.61.267/158/15
Yate Town1.51.148/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Gloucester City sit 15th in Non League Premier - Southern South (4 points from 4 matches) and Yate Town sit 4th (8 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Yate Town4220538
15Gloucester City4112454

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Gloucester City vs Yate Town?
The Footlab model makes Gloucester City the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for Yate Town.
Where and when is Gloucester City vs Yate Town played?
Gloucester City vs Yate Town is played on February 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at New Meadow Park, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Gloucester City and Yate Town

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