Gloucester City vs Yate Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 33Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)New Meadow Park, Gloucester, Gloucestershire
The Footlab model makes Gloucester City the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for Yate Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gloucester City vs Yate Town?
A very open match: only 86 Elo points separate Gloucester City (1,897) and Yate Town (1,811).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gloucester City have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Yate Town have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hanwell Town(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Wimborne Town(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Bracknell Town(away) | 2-3 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Chertsey Town(home) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Weston-super-Mare(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bracknell Town(home) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chertsey Town(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Chippenham Town(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Gosport Borough(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Leamington(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Gloucester City win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Yate Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Yate Town 2-1 Gloucester City | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Dec 5, 2025 | Gloucester City 1-0 Yate Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Oct 16, 2013 | Gloucester City 7-0 Yate Town | FA Cup |
| Oct 12, 2013 | Yate Town 2-2 Gloucester City | FA Cup |
Last archived meeting: Yate Town vs Gloucester City on Apr 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Gloucester City score 1.6 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Yate Town score 1.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gloucester City | 1.6 | 1.2 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Yate Town | 1.5 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gloucester City sit 15th in Non League Premier - Southern South (4 points from 4 matches) and Yate Town sit 4th (8 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Yate Town | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| 15 | Gloucester City | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gloucester City vs Yate Town?
- The Footlab model makes Gloucester City the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for Yate Town.
- Where and when is Gloucester City vs Yate Town played?
- Gloucester City vs Yate Town is played on February 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at New Meadow Park, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 20, 2027Havant & WvillevsMalvern Town
- Feb 20, 2027Frome TownvsBracknell Town
- Feb 20, 2027UxbridgevsPoole Town
- Feb 20, 2027Chertsey TownvsPlymouth Parkway
- Feb 20, 2027Evesham UnitedvsHanwell Town
- Feb 20, 2027SholingvsTaunton Town
- Feb 20, 2027Gosport BoroughvsChippenham Town
- Feb 20, 2027Wimborne TownvsBerkhamsted