Match

Chertsey Town vs Uxbridge: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 39Kick-off on March 29, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Alwyns Lane Football Ground, Chertsey, Surrey

Chertsey TownUxbridge

The Footlab model makes Chertsey Town the favourite at 52%, against 23% for a draw and 25% for Uxbridge. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Chertsey Town vs Uxbridge?

A very open match: only 20 Elo points separate Chertsey Town (1,875) and Uxbridge (1,856).

Chertsey Town win52 %
Draw23 %
Uxbridge win25 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chertsey Town have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Uxbridge have 9, 5 and 1.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Chertsey Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Sholing(away)4-2Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 15, 2026Yate Town(home)1-1Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 11, 2026Berkhamsted(home)4-1Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 8, 2026Gloucester City(away)1-0Non League Premier - Southern South
Jul 31, 2026Westfield (Surrey)(home)4-2Friendlies Clubs
Uxbridge
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Taunton Town(home)5-4Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 15, 2026Gosport Borough(away)1-1Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 11, 2026Havant & Wville(away)2-0Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 8, 2026Chippenham Town(home)2-0Non League Premier - Southern South
Apr 25, 2026Poole Town(home)3-3Non League Premier - Southern South

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Chertsey Town win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Uxbridge win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 3, 2026Uxbridge 0-1 Chertsey TownNon League Premier - Southern South
Aug 25, 2025Chertsey Town 3-3 UxbridgeNon League Premier - Southern South
Oct 26, 2024Uxbridge 0-3 Chertsey TownFA Trophy
Jan 20, 2024Uxbridge 0-6 Chertsey TownNon League Div One - Isthmian South Central
Oct 7, 2023Chertsey Town 2-1 UxbridgeNon League Div One - Isthmian South Central
Jan 28, 2023Uxbridge 2-0 Chertsey TownNon League Div One - Isthmian South Central

Last archived meeting: Uxbridge vs Chertsey Town on Jan 3, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Chertsey Town score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Uxbridge score 2.6 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Chertsey Town1.91.349/159/15
Uxbridge2.61.3510/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Chertsey Town sit 1st in Non League Premier - Southern South (10 points from 4 matches) and Uxbridge sit 2nd (10 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Chertsey Town431010410
2Uxbridge431010510

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Chertsey Town vs Uxbridge?
The Footlab model makes Chertsey Town the favourite at 52%, against 23% for a draw and 25% for Uxbridge.
Where and when is Chertsey Town vs Uxbridge played?
Chertsey Town vs Uxbridge is played on March 29, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Alwyns Lane Football Ground, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Chertsey Town and Uxbridge

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