Chertsey Town vs Uxbridge: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 39Kick-off on March 29, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Alwyns Lane Football Ground, Chertsey, Surrey
The Footlab model makes Chertsey Town the favourite at 52%, against 23% for a draw and 25% for Uxbridge. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chertsey Town vs Uxbridge?
A very open match: only 20 Elo points separate Chertsey Town (1,875) and Uxbridge (1,856).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chertsey Town have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Uxbridge have 9, 5 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Sholing(away) | 4-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Yate Town(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Berkhamsted(home) | 4-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Gloucester City(away) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Westfield (Surrey)(home) | 4-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Taunton Town(home) | 5-4 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Gosport Borough(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Havant & Wville(away) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Chippenham Town(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Poole Town(home) | 3-3 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Chertsey Town win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Uxbridge win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2026 | Uxbridge 0-1 Chertsey Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 25, 2025 | Chertsey Town 3-3 Uxbridge | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Oct 26, 2024 | Uxbridge 0-3 Chertsey Town | FA Trophy |
| Jan 20, 2024 | Uxbridge 0-6 Chertsey Town | Non League Div One - Isthmian South Central |
| Oct 7, 2023 | Chertsey Town 2-1 Uxbridge | Non League Div One - Isthmian South Central |
| Jan 28, 2023 | Uxbridge 2-0 Chertsey Town | Non League Div One - Isthmian South Central |
Last archived meeting: Uxbridge vs Chertsey Town on Jan 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Chertsey Town score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Uxbridge score 2.6 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chertsey Town | 1.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Uxbridge | 2.6 | 1.3 | 5 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chertsey Town sit 1st in Non League Premier - Southern South (10 points from 4 matches) and Uxbridge sit 2nd (10 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chertsey Town | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 10 |
| 2 | Uxbridge | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 10 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chertsey Town vs Uxbridge?
- The Footlab model makes Chertsey Town the favourite at 52%, against 23% for a draw and 25% for Uxbridge.
- Where and when is Chertsey Town vs Uxbridge played?
- Chertsey Town vs Uxbridge is played on March 29, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Alwyns Lane Football Ground, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 29, 2027Havant & WvillevsSholing
- Mar 29, 2027Taunton TownvsPlymouth Parkway
- Mar 29, 2027Bracknell TownvsBerkhamsted
- Mar 29, 2027Evesham UnitedvsMalvern Town
- Mar 29, 2027Hanwell TownvsHanworth Villa
- Mar 29, 2027Gosport BoroughvsChichester City
- Mar 29, 2027Poole TownvsFrome Town
- Mar 29, 2027Wimborne TownvsBasingstoke Town