Match

Evesham United vs Malvern Town: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 39Kick-off on March 29, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The Spiers & Hartwell Jubilee Stadium, Evesham, Worcestershire

Evesham UnitedMalvern Town

The Footlab model makes Evesham United the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Malvern Town. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Evesham United vs Malvern Town?

A very open match: only 80 Elo points separate Evesham United (1,746) and Malvern Town (1,826).

Evesham United win38 %
Draw25 %
Malvern Town win37 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Evesham United have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Malvern Town have 8, 2 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Evesham United
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Hanworth Villa(away)1-4Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 15, 2026Chichester City(home)3-0Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 11, 2026Frome Town(home)0-4Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 8, 2026Basingstoke Town(away)4-2Non League Premier - Southern South
Jul 31, 2026Bishop's Cleeve(home)1-1Friendlies Clubs
Malvern Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Wimborne Town(home)0-3Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 15, 2026Bracknell Town(away)0-0Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 11, 2026Taunton Town(away)2-5Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 8, 2026Hanwell Town(home)2-2Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 1, 2026Rushall Olympic(home)1-2Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Evesham United win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Malvern Town win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 5, 2025Evesham United 1-0 Malvern TownNon League Div One - Play-offs
Feb 15, 2025Malvern Town 1-0 Evesham UnitedNon League Div One - Southern South
Oct 29, 2024Evesham United 0-2 Malvern TownNon League Div One - Southern South
Apr 1, 2024Evesham United 0-2 Malvern TownNon League Div One - Southern South
Dec 26, 2023Malvern Town 2-3 Evesham UnitedNon League Div One - Southern South

Last archived meeting: Evesham United vs Malvern Town on May 5, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Evesham United score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Malvern Town score 1.9 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Evesham United1.31.748/1510/15
Malvern Town1.91.848/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Evesham United sit 12th in Non League Premier - Southern South (6 points from 4 matches) and Malvern Town sit 22nd (2 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
12Evesham United42028106
22Malvern Town40224102

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Evesham United vs Malvern Town?
The Footlab model makes Evesham United the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Malvern Town.
Where and when is Evesham United vs Malvern Town played?
Evesham United vs Malvern Town is played on March 29, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The Spiers & Hartwell Jubilee Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Evesham United and Malvern Town

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