Evesham United vs Malvern Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 39Kick-off on March 29, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The Spiers & Hartwell Jubilee Stadium, Evesham, Worcestershire
The Footlab model makes Evesham United the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Malvern Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Evesham United vs Malvern Town?
A very open match: only 80 Elo points separate Evesham United (1,746) and Malvern Town (1,826).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Evesham United have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Malvern Town have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hanworth Villa(away) | 1-4 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chichester City(home) | 3-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Frome Town(home) | 0-4 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Basingstoke Town(away) | 4-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Bishop's Cleeve(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Wimborne Town(home) | 0-3 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bracknell Town(away) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Taunton Town(away) | 2-5 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Hanwell Town(home) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Rushall Olympic(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Evesham United win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Malvern Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 5, 2025 | Evesham United 1-0 Malvern Town | Non League Div One - Play-offs |
| Feb 15, 2025 | Malvern Town 1-0 Evesham United | Non League Div One - Southern South |
| Oct 29, 2024 | Evesham United 0-2 Malvern Town | Non League Div One - Southern South |
| Apr 1, 2024 | Evesham United 0-2 Malvern Town | Non League Div One - Southern South |
| Dec 26, 2023 | Malvern Town 2-3 Evesham United | Non League Div One - Southern South |
Last archived meeting: Evesham United vs Malvern Town on May 5, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Evesham United score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Malvern Town score 1.9 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evesham United | 1.3 | 1.7 | 4 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Malvern Town | 1.9 | 1.8 | 4 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Evesham United sit 12th in Non League Premier - Southern South (6 points from 4 matches) and Malvern Town sit 22nd (2 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Evesham United | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 6 |
| 22 | Malvern Town | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Evesham United vs Malvern Town?
- The Footlab model makes Evesham United the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Malvern Town.
- Where and when is Evesham United vs Malvern Town played?
- Evesham United vs Malvern Town is played on March 29, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The Spiers & Hartwell Jubilee Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 29, 2027Havant & WvillevsSholing
- Mar 29, 2027Taunton TownvsPlymouth Parkway
- Mar 29, 2027Bracknell TownvsBerkhamsted
- Mar 29, 2027Chertsey TownvsUxbridge
- Mar 29, 2027Hanwell TownvsHanworth Villa
- Mar 29, 2027Gosport BoroughvsChichester City
- Mar 29, 2027Poole TownvsFrome Town
- Mar 29, 2027Wimborne TownvsBasingstoke Town