Evesham United vs Malvern Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 39Kick-off on March 29, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The Spiers & Hartwell Jubilee Stadium, Evesham, Worcestershire
The Footlab AI model makes Evesham United the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Malvern Town. The most likely score is 1-1. If Evesham United wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,495 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Evesham United vs Malvern Town?
A very open match: only 13 Elo points separate Evesham United (1,769) and Malvern Town (1,782).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Evesham United vs Malvern Town
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Evesham United
Not enough data to predict the Evesham United lineup.
Malvern Town
Not enough data to predict the Malvern Town lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 12:54 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Evesham United have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Malvern Town have 2, 3 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Bath City(home) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Uxbridge(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Poole Town(away) | 1-3 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Chippenham Town(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Stratford Town(home) | 3-1 | FA Trophy |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Yate Town(home) | 3-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Basingstoke Town(away) | 1-4 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Bath City(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Mickleover Sports(away) | 1-2 | FA Trophy |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Gloucester City(home) | 5-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Evesham United wins, 0 draws, 3 Malvern Town wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 5, 2025 | Evesham United 1-0 Malvern Town | Non League Div One - Play-offs |
| Feb 15, 2025 | Malvern Town 1-0 Evesham United | Non League Div One - Southern South |
| Oct 29, 2024 | Evesham United 0-2 Malvern Town | Non League Div One - Southern South |
| Apr 1, 2024 | Evesham United 0-2 Malvern Town | Non League Div One - Southern South |
| Dec 26, 2023 | Malvern Town 2-3 Evesham United | Non League Div One - Southern South |
Last archived meeting: Evesham United vs Malvern Town on May 5, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Evesham United score 1.4 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Malvern Town score 1.3 and concede 2.7. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evesham United | 1.4 | 1.7 | 4 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Malvern Town | 1.3 | 2.7 | 1 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Evesham United sit 13th in Non League Premier - Southern South (13 points from 11 matches) and Malvern Town sit 22nd (8 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Evesham United | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 20 | 13 |
| 22 | Malvern Town | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 31 | 8 |
A question about Evesham United vs Malvern Town?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Evesham United vs Malvern Town?
- The Footlab AI model makes Evesham United the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Malvern Town.
- Where and when is Evesham United vs Malvern Town played?
- Evesham United vs Malvern Town is played on March 29, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The Spiers & Hartwell Jubilee Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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