Poole Town vs Frome Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 39Kick-off on March 29, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Tatnam Ground, Poole, Dorset
The Footlab model makes Poole Town the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Frome Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Poole Town vs Frome Town?
A very open match: only 58 Elo points separate Poole Town (1,856) and Frome Town (1,914).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Poole Town have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Frome Town have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Berkhamsted(away) | 3-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Basingstoke Town(home) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Sholing(home) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Chichester City(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Jul 14, 2026 | Eastleigh(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Gosport Borough(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Havant & Wville(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Evesham United(away) | 4-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Wimborne Town(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Weymouth(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Poole Town win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Frome Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2025 | Poole Town 0-1 Frome Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Frome Town 2-3 Poole Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Oct 30, 2021 | Frome Town 3-2 Poole Town | FA Trophy |
| Oct 27, 2018 | Poole Town 2-1 Frome Town | FA Trophy |
| Oct 19, 2013 | Frome Town 1-1 Poole Town | FA Trophy |
Last archived meeting: Poole Town vs Frome Town on Feb 1, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Poole Town score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Frome Town score 1.8 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poole Town | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Frome Town | 1.8 | 0.7 | 8 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Poole Town sit 11th in Non League Premier - Southern South (6 points from 4 matches) and Frome Town sit 7th (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Frome Town | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 6 |
| 11 | Poole Town | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Poole Town vs Frome Town?
- The Footlab model makes Poole Town the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Frome Town.
- Where and when is Poole Town vs Frome Town played?
- Poole Town vs Frome Town is played on March 29, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Tatnam Ground, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 29, 2027Havant & WvillevsSholing
- Mar 29, 2027Taunton TownvsPlymouth Parkway
- Mar 29, 2027Bracknell TownvsBerkhamsted
- Mar 29, 2027Chertsey TownvsUxbridge
- Mar 29, 2027Evesham UnitedvsMalvern Town
- Mar 29, 2027Hanwell TownvsHanworth Villa
- Mar 29, 2027Gosport BoroughvsChichester City
- Mar 29, 2027Wimborne TownvsBasingstoke Town