Match

Poole Town vs Frome Town: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 39Kick-off on March 29, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Tatnam Ground, Poole, Dorset

Poole TownFrome Town

The Footlab model makes Poole Town the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Frome Town. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Poole Town vs Frome Town?

A very open match: only 58 Elo points separate Poole Town (1,856) and Frome Town (1,914).

Poole Town win39 %
Draw25 %
Frome Town win36 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Poole Town have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Frome Town have 8, 3 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Poole Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Berkhamsted(away)3-2Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 15, 2026Basingstoke Town(home)0-2Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 11, 2026Sholing(home)0-1Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 8, 2026Chichester City(away)2-1Non League Premier - Southern South
Jul 14, 2026Eastleigh(home)2-0Friendlies Clubs
Frome Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Gosport Borough(home)1-2Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 15, 2026Havant & Wville(away)0-1Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 11, 2026Evesham United(away)4-0Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 8, 2026Wimborne Town(home)2-0Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 1, 2026Weymouth(home)0-0Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Poole Town win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Frome Town win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 1, 2025Poole Town 0-1 Frome TownNon League Premier - Southern South
Oct 19, 2024Frome Town 2-3 Poole TownNon League Premier - Southern South
Oct 30, 2021Frome Town 3-2 Poole TownFA Trophy
Oct 27, 2018Poole Town 2-1 Frome TownFA Trophy
Oct 19, 2013Frome Town 1-1 Poole TownFA Trophy

Last archived meeting: Poole Town vs Frome Town on Feb 1, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Poole Town score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Frome Town score 1.8 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Poole Town1.31.348/156/15
Frome Town1.80.785/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Poole Town sit 11th in Non League Premier - Southern South (6 points from 4 matches) and Frome Town sit 7th (6 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7Frome Town4202736
11Poole Town4202566

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Poole Town vs Frome Town?
The Footlab model makes Poole Town the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Frome Town.
Where and when is Poole Town vs Frome Town played?
Poole Town vs Frome Town is played on March 29, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Tatnam Ground, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Poole Town and Frome Town

Ready to know everything about football?