Chester vs Merthyr Town: result 2-2 and analysis
National League - NorthNorth - 10Kick-off on October 4, 2025 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Deva Stadium, Chester, Cheshire
Full time
What was the result of Chester vs Merthyr Town?
Chester and Merthyr Town drew 2-2 on October 4, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 6′O. ZanzalaChester
- 39′T. HandleyChester (o.g.)
- 57′T. HandleyMerthyr Town
- 90′?Merthyr Town
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chester have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Merthyr Town have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2025 | Curzon Ashton(home) | 5-1 | FA Cup |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Darlington 1883(away) | 1-1 | National League - North |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Stalybridge Celtic(away) | 2-1 | FA Cup |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Scarborough Athletic(home) | 1-1 | National League - North |
| Sep 2, 2025 | AFC Fylde(away) | 2-2 | National League - North |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2025 | Hampton & Richmond(home) | 0-1 | FA Cup |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Radcliffe(home) | 0-5 | National League - North |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Torpoint Athletic(home) | 4-0 | FA Cup |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Worksop Town(home) | 2-0 | National League - North |
| Sep 2, 2025 | Macclesfield(away) | 3-1 | National League - North |
How many goals should we expect?
Chester score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Merthyr Town score 1.8 and concede 1.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chester | 1.3 | 1.7 | 1 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Merthyr Town | 1.8 | 1.9 | 5 | 6/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chester sit 1st in National League - North (12 points from 4 matches) and Merthyr Town sit 12th (5 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chester | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 12 |
| 12 | Merthyr Town | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 5 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 4, 2025Macclesfield0-1Marine
- Oct 4, 2025Oxford City1-2Curzon Ashton
- Oct 4, 2025AFC Telford United1-3AFC Fylde
- Oct 4, 2025Spennymoor Town2-0Southport
- Oct 4, 2025Worksop Town0-2Bedford Town
- Oct 4, 2025Buxton1-0Darlington 1883
- Oct 4, 2025Peterborough Sports2-1Kidderminster Harriers
- Oct 4, 2025Radcliffe3-1Alfreton Town