Chile vs Paraguay: result 3-2 and analysis
FriendliesFriendlies 1Kick-off on March 28, 2023 at 12:30 AM (UTC)Estadio Monumental David Arellano, Santiago de Chile
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What was the result of Chile vs Paraguay?
Chile won 3-2 on March 28, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 25′P. DíazChile
- 32′M. RojasParaguay
- 34′G. ÁvalosParaguay
- 76′A. SánchezChile
- 90′A. SilvaChile (o.g.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chile have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Paraguay have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2022 | Slovakia(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies |
| Nov 16, 2022 | Poland(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies |
| Sep 27, 2022 | Qatar(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies |
| Sep 23, 2022 | Morocco(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies |
| Jun 10, 2022 | Tunisia(home) | 0-2 | Kirin Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2022 | Colombia(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies |
| Nov 17, 2022 | Peru(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies |
| Sep 27, 2022 | Morocco(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies |
| Sep 23, 2022 | United Arab Emirates(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies |
| Sep 1, 2022 | Mexico(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Chile win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Paraguay win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2021 | Paraguay 0-1 Chile | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Oct 11, 2021 | Chile 2-0 Paraguay | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Jun 25, 2021 | Chile 0-2 Paraguay | Copa America |
| Aug 31, 2017 | Chile 0-3 Paraguay | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Sep 2, 2016 | Paraguay 2-1 Chile | World Cup - Qualification South America |
How many goals should we expect?
Chile score 0.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Paraguay score 0.5 and concede 1.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chile | 0.9 | 1.5 | 4 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
| Paraguay | 0.5 | 1.6 | 4 | 3/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy