Chile vs Paraguay: result 3-2 and analysis
FriendliesFriendlies 1Kick-off on March 28, 2023 at 12:30 AM (UTC)Estadio Monumental David Arellano, Santiago de Chile
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What was the result of Chile vs Paraguay?
Chile won 3-2 on March 28, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 25′P. DíazChile
- 32′M. RojasParaguay
- 34′G. ÁvalosParaguay
- 76′A. SánchezChile
- 90′A. SilvaChile (o.g.)
Official lineup for Chile vs Paraguay
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Chile
4-4-2- 11D. Rubio
- 22B. Brereton
- 7M. Núñez
- 14V. Méndez
- 17G. Medel
- 8A. Vidal
- 4G. Suazo
- 3G. Maripán
- 5P. Díaz
- 20G. Soto
- 1C. Bravo
Paraguay
4-2-3-1- 7G. Ávalos
- 8M. Rojas
- 11J. Enciso
- 23M. Villasanti
- 14A. Cubas
- 24D. Gómez
- 6J. Alonso
- 15G. Gómez
- 5F. Balbuena
- 2R. Rojas
- 1A. Silva
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chile have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Paraguay have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2022 | Slovakia(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies |
| Nov 16, 2022 | Poland(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies |
| Sep 27, 2022 | Qatar(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies |
| Sep 23, 2022 | Morocco(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies |
| Jun 10, 2022 | Tunisia(home) | 0-2 | Kirin Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2022 | Colombia(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies |
| Nov 17, 2022 | Peru(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies |
| Sep 27, 2022 | Morocco(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies |
| Sep 23, 2022 | United Arab Emirates(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies |
| Sep 1, 2022 | Mexico(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Chile wins, 0 draws, 3 Paraguay wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2021 | Paraguay 0-1 Chile | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Oct 11, 2021 | Chile 2-0 Paraguay | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Jun 25, 2021 | Chile 0-2 Paraguay | Copa America |
| Aug 31, 2017 | Chile 0-3 Paraguay | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Sep 2, 2016 | Paraguay 2-1 Chile | World Cup - Qualification South America |
How many goals should we expect?
Chile score 0.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Paraguay score 0.5 and concede 1.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chile | 0.9 | 1.5 | 4 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
| Paraguay | 0.5 | 1.6 | 4 | 3/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Chile vs Paraguay?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy