China PR U17 W vs United States W U17: prediction and stats
World Cup - U17 - WomenWorld Cup Women U17 - 3Kick-off on October 23, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes United States W U17 the favourite at 47%, against 22% for a draw and 31% for China PR U17 W. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win China PR U17 W vs United States W U17?
United States W U17 starts as the favourite with a 214-point Elo edge (1,783 vs 1,569).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, China PR U17 W have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; United States W U17 have 11, 3 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 14, 2026 | North Korea U17 W(home) | 2-4 | AFC U17 Asian Cup - Women |
| May 11, 2026 | India U17 W(home) | 3-0 | AFC U17 Asian Cup - Women |
| May 7, 2026 | Thailand U17 W(home) | 6-0 | AFC U17 Asian Cup - Women |
| May 4, 2026 | Vietnam U17 W(away) | 3-0 | AFC U17 Asian Cup - Women |
| May 1, 2026 | Myanmar U17 W(home) | 6-0 | AFC U17 Asian Cup - Women |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Canada W U17(home) | 4-1 | Friendlies Women |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Chile U17 W(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Women |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Puerto Rico W U17(home) | 4-0 | CONCACAF Women U17 |
| Mar 19, 2026 | Haiti W U17(away) | 9-0 | CONCACAF Women U17 |
| Mar 17, 2026 | Bermuda W U17(home) | 18-0 | CONCACAF Women U17 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 China PR U17 W win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 United States W U17 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2025 | United States W U17 5-2 China PR U17 W | World Cup - U17 - Women |
Last archived meeting: United States W U17 vs China PR U17 W on Oct 21, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
China PR U17 W score 2.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; United States W U17 score 4.3 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 74% probability of over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| China PR U17 W | 2.5 | 1.3 | 8 | 4/15 | 12/15 |
| United States W U17 | 4.3 | 0.5 | 10 | 4/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for China PR U17 W vs United States W U17?
- The Footlab model makes United States W U17 the favourite at 47%, against 22% for a draw and 31% for China PR U17 W.
- Where and when is China PR U17 W vs United States W U17 played?
- China PR U17 W vs United States W U17 is played on October 23, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the World Cup - U17 - Women.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 74% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.