China vs Bahrain: prediction and stats
FriendliesFriendly InternationalKick-off on November 17, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Beijing National Stadium, Beijing
The Footlab AI model makes China the favourite at 56%, against 25% for a draw and 19% for Bahrain. The most likely score is 1-1. If China wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 5,892 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win China vs Bahrain?
On Elo ratings, China has 1,512 points and Bahrain 1,485.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for China vs Bahrain
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
China
4-4-2- 10Wei Shihao
- 9Wang Ziming
- 6Wang Shangyuan
- 13Huang Shenghao
- 7Xie Wenneng
- 17Bunyamin Abdusalam
- 19Liu Yang
- 2Jiang Guangtai
- 4Gao Zhunyi
- 21Li Yang
- 12Liu Dianzuo
Bahrain
4-2-3-1- 20M. Humaidan
- 7Ali Madan
- 8Mohamed Marhoon
- 10K. Al Aswad
- 4S. Dhiya
- 15Jassim Al Shaikh
- 2Amine Benaddi
- 3W. Al Hayam
- 23A. Al Khalasi
- 5Hamad Al Shamsan
- 22Ebrahim Lutfallah
Computed on November 14, 2026 at 12:21 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, China have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Bahrain have 3, 1 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6, 2026 | Tajikistan(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Palestine(home) | 0-5 | Friendlies |
| Sep 27, 2026 | New Zealand(home) | 0-3 | Friendlies |
| Sep 24, 2026 | Maldives(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies |
| Jun 9, 2026 | Thailand(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2026 | Yemen(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Yemen(home) | 2-5 | Gulf Cup of Nations |
| Sep 27, 2026 | United Arab Emirates(home) | 0-3 | Gulf Cup of Nations |
| Sep 24, 2026 | Qatar(away) | 0-2 | Gulf Cup of Nations |
| Jun 5, 2026 | Georgia(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 China wins, 1 draw, 0 Bahrain wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 10, 2025 | China 1-0 Bahrain | World Cup - Qualification Asia |
| Nov 14, 2024 | Bahrain 0-1 China | World Cup - Qualification Asia |
| Sep 10, 2018 | Bahrain 0-0 China | Friendlies |
How many goals should we expect?
China score 0.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Bahrain score 0.9 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| China | 0.7 | 1.5 | 5 | 2/15 | 6/15 |
| Bahrain | 0.9 | 2.1 | 1 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about China vs Bahrain?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for China vs Bahrain?
- The Footlab AI model makes China the favourite at 56%, against 25% for a draw and 19% for Bahrain.
- Where and when is China vs Bahrain played?
- China vs Bahrain is played on November 17, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Beijing National Stadium, in the Friendlies.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.