Bahrain vs North Korea: prediction and stats
Asian CupGroup Stage - 1Kick-off on January 8, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stād al-Bahrayn al-Watanī (Bahrain National Stadium), Riffa
The Footlab AI model makes Bahrain the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for North Korea. The most likely score is 1-1. If Bahrain wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bahrain vs North Korea?
A very open match: only 11 Elo points separate Bahrain (1,485) and North Korea (1,496).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Bahrain vs North Korea
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Bahrain
4-2-3-1- 20M. Humaidan
- 7Ali Madan
- 8Mohamed Marhoon
- 10K. Al Aswad
- 4S. Dhiya
- 15Jassim Al Shaikh
- 2Amine Benaddi
- 3W. Al Hayam
- 23A. Al Khalasi
- 5Hamad Al Shamsan
- 22Ebrahim Lutfallah
North Korea
4-2-3-1- 10Ri Il-song
- 20Paek Chung-Song
- 15M. Ra
- 11Pak Kwang-Hun
- 3Jang Kuk-Chol
- 6Tam Kye
- 16Kim Yu-Song
- 19Kim Sung-Hye
- 5Jong Hwi-Nam
- 12Choe Ryong II
- 1Ju-Hyok Kang
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 12:54 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bahrain have 2 wins, 1 draw and 12 defeats; North Korea have 2, 5 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 30, 2026 | Yemen(home) | 2-5 | Gulf Cup of Nations |
| Sep 27, 2026 | United Arab Emirates(home) | 0-3 | Gulf Cup of Nations |
| Sep 24, 2026 | Qatar(away) | 0-2 | Gulf Cup of Nations |
| Jun 5, 2026 | Georgia(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies |
| Dec 9, 2025 | Sudan(home) | 3-1 | Arab Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 10, 2025 | Iran(away) | 0-3 | World Cup - Qualification Asia |
| Jun 5, 2025 | Kyrgyzstan(home) | 2-2 | World Cup - Qualification Asia |
| Mar 25, 2025 | United Arab Emirates(home) | 1-2 | World Cup - Qualification Asia |
| Mar 20, 2025 | Qatar(away) | 1-5 | World Cup - Qualification Asia |
| Mar 14, 2025 | Jordan(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Bahrain win, 0 draws, 2 North Korea wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2018 | Bahrain 4-0 North Korea | Friendlies |
| Nov 17, 2015 | North Korea 2-0 Bahrain | World Cup - Qualification Asia |
| Sep 3, 2015 | Bahrain 0-1 North Korea | World Cup - Qualification Asia |
Last archived meeting: Bahrain vs North Korea on Dec 29, 2018
How many goals should we expect?
Bahrain score 0.7 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; North Korea score 1.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bahrain | 0.7 | 2.1 | 1 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| North Korea | 1.1 | 1.7 | 2 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Bahrain vs North Korea?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bahrain vs North Korea?
- The Footlab AI model makes Bahrain the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for North Korea.
- Where and when is Bahrain vs North Korea played?
- Bahrain vs North Korea is played on January 8, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stād al-Bahrayn al-Watanī (Bahrain National Stadium), in the Asian Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.