China vs Japan: result 1-1 and analysis
EAFF E-1 Football ChampionshipFinal Round - 3Kick-off on August 9, 2015 at 12:10 PM (UTC)Beijing National Stadium, Beijing
Full time
What was the result of China vs Japan?
China and Japan drew 1-1 on August 9, 2015.
Goalscorers
- 10′Wu LeiChina
- 41′Y. MutoJapan
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 10 matches in all competitions, China have 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats; Japan have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2015 | North Korea(home) | 2-0 | EAFF E-1 Football Championship |
| Aug 2, 2015 | South Korea(home) | 0-2 | EAFF E-1 Football Championship |
| Jun 16, 2015 | Bhutan(away) | 6-0 | World Cup - Qualification Asia |
| Jan 22, 2015 | Australia(home) | 0-2 | Asian Cup |
| Jan 18, 2015 | North Korea(home) | 2-1 | Asian Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2015 | South Korea(home) | 1-1 | EAFF E-1 Football Championship |
| Aug 2, 2015 | North Korea(away) | 1-2 | EAFF E-1 Football Championship |
| Jun 16, 2015 | Singapore(home) | 0-0 | World Cup - Qualification Asia |
| Jan 23, 2015 | United Arab Emirates(home) | 2-2 | Asian Cup |
| Jan 20, 2015 | Jordan(home) | 2-0 | Asian Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
China score 1.7 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 10; Japan score 1.4 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| China | 1.7 | 1.0 | 4 | 3/10 | 4/10 |
| Japan | 1.4 | 1.5 | 6 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 10 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy