Match

Choisy au Bac vs Caen: prediction and stats

Coupe de France1/128-finalsKick-off on November 14, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stade du Maubon - Terrain Honneur, Choisy au Bac

Choisy au BacCaen

The Footlab AI model makes Caen the favourite at 70%, against 18% for a draw and 12% for Choisy au Bac. The most likely score is 0-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 4,777 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 7, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Choisy au Bac vs Caen?

Caen starts as the favourite with a 187-point Elo edge (1,865 vs 1,678).

12%18%70%
Choisy au Bac winDrawCaen win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Choisy au Bac vs Caen

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Choisy au Bac

4-3-3
  1. CChris Thuret
  2. GGrégory Delcroix
  3. SSteven Loffroy
  1. GG. Poiret
  2. CClément Bayard
  3. YY. Diallo
  1. MMathieu Garnier
  2. VValentin Barbier
  3. KKévin Plé
  4. RRomain Luisin
  1. JJ. N'Tima N'Siemi

Caen

4-3-3
  1. 9F. El Khoumisti
  2. 20Keelyan Portut
  3. 10I. Botella
  1. 25Z. Bagbema
  2. 28H. Saivet
  3. 18J. Bomo
  1. 23L. Carole
  2. 12D. Appiah
  3. 4S. Mbaka
  4. 3D. Bolumbu
  1. 16Y. Clémentia

Computed on November 7, 2026 at 07:44 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 3 matches in all competitions, Choisy au Bac have 1 win, 0 draws and 2 defeats; Caen have 8, 2 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Choisy au Bac
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 19, 2023JS Douvres(away)1-2Coupe de France
Dec 3, 2017Senlis(away)1-3Coupe de France
Nov 12, 2017Quarouble(away)1-0Coupe de France
Caen
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 31, 2026Le Puy Foot(away)2-2Ligue 3
Oct 15, 2026La Roche VF(home)2-1Ligue 3
Oct 3, 2026Fleury 91(away)2-3Ligue 3
Sep 24, 2026Rouen(home)3-2Ligue 3
Sep 19, 2026Concarneau(away)0-2Ligue 3

How many goals should we expect?

Choisy au Bac score 1.0 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 3; Caen score 2.2 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Choisy au Bac1.01.712/32/3
Caen2.21.549/159/15

Over the last 3 matches in all competitions.

A question about Choisy au Bac vs Caen?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Choisy au Bac vs Caen?
The Footlab AI model makes Caen the favourite at 70%, against 18% for a draw and 12% for Choisy au Bac.
Where and when is Choisy au Bac vs Caen played?
Choisy au Bac vs Caen is played on November 14, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stade du Maubon - Terrain Honneur, in the Coupe de France.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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