Chojniczanka Chojnice vs Podhale Nowy Targ: prediction and stats
II Liga - EastRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski Chojnice, Chojnice
The Footlab model makes Chojniczanka Chojnice the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Podhale Nowy Targ. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chojniczanka Chojnice vs Podhale Nowy Targ?
A very open match: only 29 Elo points separate Chojniczanka Chojnice (1,882) and Podhale Nowy Targ (1,853).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chojniczanka Chojnice have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Podhale Nowy Targ have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Stal Stalowa Wola(home) | 2-0 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Śląsk Wrocław II(away) | 2-1 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Znicz Pruszków(home) | 1-4 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Podhale Nowy Targ(away) | 0-2 | Cup |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Sandecja Nowy Sącz(away) | 0-3 | II Liga - East |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Resovia Rzeszów(home) | 1-1 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Górnik Łęczna(away) | 2-5 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Hutnik Kraków(home) | 2-5 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Chojniczanka Chojnice(home) | 2-0 | Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Sokół Kleczew(away) | 0-0 | II Liga - East |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Chojniczanka Chojnice win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Podhale Nowy Targ win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2026 | Podhale Nowy Targ 2-0 Chojniczanka Chojnice | Cup |
| May 9, 2026 | Podhale Nowy Targ 3-2 Chojniczanka Chojnice | II Liga - East |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Chojniczanka Chojnice 0-0 Podhale Nowy Targ | II Liga - East |
Last archived meeting: Podhale Nowy Targ vs Chojniczanka Chojnice on Aug 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Chojniczanka Chojnice score 1.7 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Podhale Nowy Targ score 1.9 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chojniczanka Chojnice | 1.7 | 1.8 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Podhale Nowy Targ | 1.9 | 1.6 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chojniczanka Chojnice sit 14th in II Liga - East (6 points from 5 matches) and Podhale Nowy Targ sit 15th (5 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Chojniczanka Chojnice | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 6 |
| 15 | Podhale Nowy Targ | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chojniczanka Chojnice vs Podhale Nowy Targ?
- The Footlab model makes Chojniczanka Chojnice the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Podhale Nowy Targ.
- Where and when is Chojniczanka Chojnice vs Podhale Nowy Targ played?
- Chojniczanka Chojnice vs Podhale Nowy Targ is played on October 10, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski Chojnice, in the II Liga - East.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 10, 2026Tychy 71vsGórnik Łęczna
- Oct 10, 2026Olimpia GrudziądzvsResovia Rzeszów
- Oct 10, 2026Rekord Bielsko-BiałavsSandecja Nowy Sącz
- Oct 10, 2026Stal Stalowa WolavsŚląsk Wrocław II
- Oct 10, 2026Zawisza BydgoszczvsZnicz Pruszków
- Oct 10, 2026Lechia Zielona GóravsLegia Warszawa II
- Oct 10, 2026Sokół KleczewvsHutnik Kraków
- Oct 10, 2026Avia ŚwidnikvsŚwit Skolwin