Lechia Zielona Góra vs Legia Warszawa II: prediction and stats
II Liga - EastRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion MOSiR, Zielona Góra
The Footlab model makes Lechia Zielona Góra the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Legia Warszawa II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lechia Zielona Góra vs Legia Warszawa II?
A very open match: only 18 Elo points separate Lechia Zielona Góra (1,899) and Legia Warszawa II (1,917).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lechia Zielona Góra have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Legia Warszawa II have 8, 0 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Hutnik Kraków(home) | 1-1 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Zawisza Bydgoszcz(away) | 1-2 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sokół Kleczew(home) | 6-1 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Olimpia Grudziądz(home) | 2-2 | II Liga - East |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Rekord Bielsko-Biała(home) | 1-1 | II Liga - East |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Sokół Kleczew(home) | 6-1 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Hutnik Kraków(away) | 0-2 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Świt Skolwin(home) | 5-0 | II Liga - East |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Znicz Pruszków(away) | 1-2 | II Liga - East |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Stal Stalowa Wola(home) | 0-2 | II Liga - East |
How many goals should we expect?
Lechia Zielona Góra score 2.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Legia Warszawa II score 1.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lechia Zielona Góra | 2.1 | 1.3 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Legia Warszawa II | 1.7 | 1.2 | 6 | 5/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lechia Zielona Góra sit 11th in II Liga - East (6 points from 5 matches) and Legia Warszawa II sit 10th (6 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Legia Warszawa II | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 7 | 6 |
| 11 | Lechia Zielona Góra | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lechia Zielona Góra vs Legia Warszawa II?
- The Footlab model makes Lechia Zielona Góra the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Legia Warszawa II.
- Where and when is Lechia Zielona Góra vs Legia Warszawa II played?
- Lechia Zielona Góra vs Legia Warszawa II is played on October 10, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion MOSiR, in the II Liga - East.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 10, 2026Chojniczanka ChojnicevsPodhale Nowy Targ
- Oct 10, 2026Tychy 71vsGórnik Łęczna
- Oct 10, 2026Olimpia GrudziądzvsResovia Rzeszów
- Oct 10, 2026Rekord Bielsko-BiałavsSandecja Nowy Sącz
- Oct 10, 2026Stal Stalowa WolavsŚląsk Wrocław II
- Oct 10, 2026Zawisza BydgoszczvsZnicz Pruszków
- Oct 10, 2026Sokół KleczewvsHutnik Kraków
- Oct 10, 2026Avia ŚwidnikvsŚwit Skolwin