Chorley vs Southport: prediction and stats
National League - NorthNational League North - 43Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Victory Park, Chorley, Lancashire
The Footlab AI model makes Chorley the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for Southport. The most likely score is 1-1. If Chorley wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,542 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chorley vs Southport?
On Elo ratings, Chorley has 1,783 points and Southport 1,722.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Chorley vs Southport
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Chorley
Not enough data to predict the Chorley lineup.
Southport
Not enough data to predict the Southport lineup.
Computed on November 5, 2026 at 04:02 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chorley have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Southport have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Spennymoor Town(away) | 0-2 | National League - North |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Radcliffe(away) | 3-0 | National League - North |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Buxton(home) | 2-3 | National League - North |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Worcester City(away) | 0-1 | FA Cup |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Worcester City(home) | 1-1 | FA Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | AFC Telford United(home) | 1-2 | National League - North |
| Oct 24, 2026 | King's Lynn Town(away) | 0-0 | National League - North |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Radcliffe(home) | 0-2 | National League - North |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Harborough Town(away) | 0-1 | National League - North |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Spennymoor Town(home) | 2-2 | National League - North |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Chorley wins, 2 draws, 0 Southport wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2026 | Chorley 4-2 Southport | National League - North |
| Oct 21, 2025 | Southport 1-1 Chorley | National League - North |
| Jan 25, 2025 | Southport 0-0 Chorley | National League - North |
| Aug 26, 2024 | Chorley 4-1 Southport | National League - North |
| Feb 17, 2024 | Chorley 3-0 Southport | National League - North |
| Aug 28, 2023 | Southport 0-2 Chorley | National League - North |
How many goals should we expect?
Chorley score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Southport score 0.9 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chorley | 1.7 | 1.5 | 2 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Southport | 0.9 | 1.8 | 1 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chorley sit 12th in National League - North (20 points from 14 matches) and Southport sit 23rd (10 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Chorley | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 20 |
| 23 | Southport | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 25 | 10 |
A question about Chorley vs Southport?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chorley vs Southport?
- The Footlab AI model makes Chorley the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for Southport.
- Where and when is Chorley vs Southport played?
- Chorley vs Southport is played on April 3, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Victory Park, in the National League - North.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Apr 3, 2027HerefordvsSpalding United
- Apr 3, 2027Brackley TownvsBedford Town
- Apr 3, 2027Worksop TownvsSpennymoor Town
- Apr 3, 2027MarinevsAFC Telford United
- Apr 3, 2027RadcliffevsSouth Shields
- Apr 3, 2027King's Lynn TownvsOxford City