Hereford vs Spalding United: prediction and stats
National League - NorthNational League North - 43Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Edgar Street Athletic Ground, Hereford, Herefordshire
The Footlab AI model makes Hereford the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Spalding United. The most likely score is 1-1. If Hereford wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 3,050 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 23, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hereford vs Spalding United?
A very open match: only 60 Elo points separate Hereford (1,927) and Spalding United (1,988).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Hereford vs Spalding United
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Hereford
Not enough data to predict the Hereford lineup.
Spalding United
Not enough data to predict the Spalding United lineup.
Computed on October 23, 2026 at 05:35 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hereford have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Spalding United have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Hednesford Town(home) | 0-1 | National League - North |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Bedford Town(away) | 1-1 | National League - North |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Stafford Rangers(away) | 2-3 | FA Cup |
| Sep 12, 2026 | South Shields(home) | 6-0 | National League - North |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Harborough Town(away) | 3-0 | National League - North |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2026 | Alvechurch(away) | 0-4 | FA Cup |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Alvechurch(home) | 2-2 | FA Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Marine(away) | 0-1 | National League - North |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Bury Town(home) | 4-0 | FA Cup |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Bury Town(away) | 1-1 | FA Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Hereford score 1.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Spalding United score 1.4 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hereford | 1.7 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Spalding United | 1.4 | 1.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hereford sit 2nd in National League - North (23 points from 11 matches) and Spalding United sit 9th (17 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Hereford | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 6 | 23 |
| 9 | Spalding United | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
A question about Hereford vs Spalding United?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hereford vs Spalding United?
- The Footlab AI model makes Hereford the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Spalding United.
- Where and when is Hereford vs Spalding United played?
- Hereford vs Spalding United is played on April 3, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Edgar Street Athletic Ground, in the National League - North.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.