Chornomorets vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 13Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Chornomorets, Odesa
The Footlab model makes Epitsentr Dunayivtsi the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for Chornomorets. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chornomorets vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi?
A very open match: only 55 Elo points separate Chornomorets (1,738) and Epitsentr Dunayivtsi (1,793).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chornomorets have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Epitsentr Dunayivtsi have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Vilkhivtsi(away) | 0-1 | Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | LNZ Cherkasy(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Polessya(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Kolos Kovalivka(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Nyva Vinnytsya(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | To4ka Odessa(away) | 2-1 | Cup |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Veres Rivne(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Shakhtar Donetsk(home) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Obolon'-Brovar(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Jul 17, 2026 | Zalaegerszegi TE(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Chornomorets score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Epitsentr Dunayivtsi score 1.1 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chornomorets | 1.3 | 1.1 | 6 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Epitsentr Dunayivtsi | 1.1 | 1.0 | 5 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chornomorets sit 15th in Premier League (0 points from 2 matches) and Epitsentr Dunayivtsi sit 6th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Epitsentr Dunayivtsi | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 15 | Chornomorets | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chornomorets vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi?
- The Footlab model makes Epitsentr Dunayivtsi the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for Chornomorets.
- Where and when is Chornomorets vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi played?
- Chornomorets vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi is played on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Chornomorets, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.