Match

Karpaty vs Zorya Luhansk: prediction and stats

Premier LeagueMatchday 13Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Ukraina, Lviv

KarpatyZorya Luhansk

The Footlab AI model makes Karpaty the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Zorya Luhansk. The most likely score is 1-1. If Karpaty wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 5,794 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Karpaty vs Zorya Luhansk?

A very open match: only 62 Elo points separate Karpaty (1,979) and Zorya Luhansk (1,917).

50%25%25%
Karpaty winDrawZorya Luhansk win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Karpaty vs Zorya Luhansk

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Karpaty

4-3-2-1
  1. 9J. Séry
  1. 8A. Chachua
  2. 70Xeber Alkain
  3. 17R. Vantukh
  4. 31N. Rusyn
  5. 10Moha
  1. 4V. Baboglo
  2. 55T. Stetskov
  3. 14Iván Calero
  4. 73R. Lyakh
  1. 80R. Mysak

Zorya Luhansk

4-4-2
  1. 28P. Budkivskyi
  2. 11I. Gorbach
  1. 27D. Jelavić
  2. 18M. Boyko
  3. 8K. Dryshlyuk
  4. 88S. Bah
  1. 39Artem Machelyuk
  2. 44I. Perduta
  3. 55Jordan
  4. 77B. Kushnirenko
  1. 1O. Saputin

Computed on November 14, 2026 at 10:04 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Karpaty have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Zorya Luhansk have 7, 4 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Karpaty
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 12, 2026Veres Rivne(home)1-1Friendlies Clubs
Nov 2, 2026Kudrivka(home)5-0Premier League
Oct 29, 2026Oleksandria(home)2-1Cup
Oct 25, 2026Chornomorets(away)0-0Premier League
Oct 18, 2026Epitsentr Dunayivtsi(home)2-2Premier League
Zorya Luhansk
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 8, 2026LNZ Cherkasy(home)1-2Premier League
Nov 2, 2026Epitsentr Dunayivtsi(home)1-0Premier League
Oct 29, 2026Kryvbas KR(home)1-1Cup
Oct 24, 2026Shakhtar Donetsk(away)0-0Premier League
Oct 17, 2026Chornomorets(home)2-1Premier League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Karpaty wins, 0 draws, 6 Zorya Luhansk wins.

DateScoreCompetition
May 23, 2026Karpaty 1-2 Zorya LuhanskPremier League
Dec 5, 2025Zorya Luhansk 1-0 KarpatyPremier League
May 25, 2025Karpaty 1-3 Zorya LuhanskPremier League
Dec 2, 2024Zorya Luhansk 2-1 KarpatyPremier League
Nov 30, 2019Zorya Luhansk 2-0 KarpatyPremier League
Aug 25, 2019Karpaty 0-1 Zorya LuhanskPremier League

Last archived meeting: Karpaty vs Zorya Luhansk on May 23, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Karpaty score 1.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Zorya Luhansk score 1.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Karpaty1.90.968/158/15
Zorya Luhansk1.51.149/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Karpaty sit 5th in Premier League (19 points from 11 matches) and Zorya Luhansk sit 7th (18 points from 12 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Karpaty1154222819
7Zorya Luhansk12534141518

A question about Karpaty vs Zorya Luhansk?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Karpaty vs Zorya Luhansk?
The Footlab AI model makes Karpaty the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Zorya Luhansk.
Where and when is Karpaty vs Zorya Luhansk played?
Karpaty vs Zorya Luhansk is played on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Ukraina, in the Premier League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Karpaty and Zorya Luhansk