Dynamo Kyiv vs Chornomorets: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 14Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Dynamo im. Valeriy Lobanovskyi, Kyiv
The Footlab model makes Dynamo Kyiv the favourite at 58%, against 25% for a draw and 17% for Chornomorets. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dynamo Kyiv vs Chornomorets?
Dynamo Kyiv starts as the favourite with a 275-point Elo edge (2,014 vs 1,739).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dynamo Kyiv have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Chornomorets have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Kolos Kovalivka(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Qarabag(away) | 0-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Veres Rivne(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Qarabag(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 30, 2026 | PAOK(away) | 0-2 | UEFA Europa League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Vilkhivtsi(away) | 0-1 | Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | LNZ Cherkasy(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Polessya(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Kolos Kovalivka(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Nyva Vinnytsya(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Dynamo Kyiv win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Chornomorets win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 18, 2025 | Chornomorets 1-1 Dynamo Kyiv | Premier League |
| Nov 23, 2024 | Dynamo Kyiv 3-1 Chornomorets | Premier League |
| Mar 2, 2024 | Dynamo Kyiv 1-0 Chornomorets | Premier League |
| Aug 20, 2023 | Chornomorets 3-2 Dynamo Kyiv | Premier League |
| May 13, 2023 | Dynamo Kyiv 2-3 Chornomorets | Premier League |
| Nov 6, 2022 | Chornomorets 0-3 Dynamo Kyiv | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Chornomorets vs Dynamo Kyiv on May 18, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Dynamo Kyiv score 1.6 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Chornomorets score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dynamo Kyiv | 1.6 | 1.0 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Chornomorets | 1.3 | 1.1 | 6 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dynamo Kyiv sit 4th in Premier League (6 points from 2 matches) and Chornomorets sit 15th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Dynamo Kyiv | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 15 | Chornomorets | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dynamo Kyiv vs Chornomorets?
- The Footlab model makes Dynamo Kyiv the favourite at 58%, against 25% for a draw and 17% for Chornomorets.
- Where and when is Dynamo Kyiv vs Chornomorets played?
- Dynamo Kyiv vs Chornomorets is played on November 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Dynamo im. Valeriy Lobanovskyi, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.