Dynamo Kyiv vs Chornomorets: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 14Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Dynamo im. Valeriy Lobanovskyi, Kyiv
The Footlab AI model makes Dynamo Kyiv the favourite at 70%, against 20% for a draw and 10% for Chornomorets. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,460 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dynamo Kyiv vs Chornomorets?
Dynamo Kyiv starts as the favourite with a 277-point Elo edge (2,082 vs 1,805).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Dynamo Kyiv vs Chornomorets
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Dynamo Kyiv
4-1-4-1- 11M. Ponomarenko
- 22V. Kabaev
- 7A. Yarmolenko
- 21J. Lonwijk
- 6V. Brazhko
- 15V. Rubchynskyi
- 32T. Mykhavko
- 44V. Dubinchak
- 94T. Kędziora
- 5O. Sych
- 1H. Bushchan
Chornomorets
4-2-3-1- 70J. Yoka
- 11K. Popov
- 18G. Robakidze
- 13V. Faraseenko
- 30M. Jobe
- 19M. Kogut
- 24M. Jarju
- 27O. Pushkarev
- 74M. Farina
- 21V. Klymenko
- 12C. Aniagboso
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 04:51 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dynamo Kyiv have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Chornomorets have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Karpaty(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Zorya Luhansk(away) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Epitsentr Dunayivtsi(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Nyva Vinnytsya(away) | 1-0 | Cup |
| Sep 6, 2026 | LNZ Cherkasy(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Metalist 1925 Kharkiv(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Obolon'-Brovar(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Shakhtar Donetsk(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Livyi Bereh(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Kryvbas KR(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Dynamo Kyiv wins, 1 draw, 2 Chornomorets wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 18, 2025 | Chornomorets 1-1 Dynamo Kyiv | Premier League |
| Nov 23, 2024 | Dynamo Kyiv 3-1 Chornomorets | Premier League |
| Mar 2, 2024 | Dynamo Kyiv 1-0 Chornomorets | Premier League |
| Aug 20, 2023 | Chornomorets 3-2 Dynamo Kyiv | Premier League |
| May 13, 2023 | Dynamo Kyiv 2-3 Chornomorets | Premier League |
| Nov 6, 2022 | Chornomorets 0-3 Dynamo Kyiv | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Chornomorets vs Dynamo Kyiv on May 18, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Dynamo Kyiv score 1.1 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Chornomorets score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dynamo Kyiv | 1.1 | 0.8 | 9 | 3/15 | 5/15 |
| Chornomorets | 1.1 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dynamo Kyiv sit 3rd in Premier League (16 points from 7 matches) and Chornomorets sit 13th (5 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Dynamo Kyiv | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 16 |
| 13 | Chornomorets | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 5 |
A question about Dynamo Kyiv vs Chornomorets?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dynamo Kyiv vs Chornomorets?
- The Footlab AI model makes Dynamo Kyiv the favourite at 70%, against 20% for a draw and 10% for Chornomorets.
- Where and when is Dynamo Kyiv vs Chornomorets played?
- Dynamo Kyiv vs Chornomorets is played on November 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Dynamo im. Valeriy Lobanovskyi, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.