Chornomorets vs LNZ Cherkasy: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 18Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Chornomorets, Odesa
The Footlab model makes LNZ Cherkasy the favourite at 49%, against 28% for a draw and 23% for Chornomorets. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chornomorets vs LNZ Cherkasy?
LNZ Cherkasy starts as the favourite with a 188-point Elo edge (1,926 vs 1,738).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chornomorets have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; LNZ Cherkasy have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Vilkhivtsi(away) | 0-1 | Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | LNZ Cherkasy(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Polessya(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Kolos Kovalivka(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Nyva Vinnytsya(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Chornomorets(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Karpaty(away) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Bukovyna(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Gent(away) | 0-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Gent(home) | 0-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Chornomorets win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 LNZ Cherkasy win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | LNZ Cherkasy 2-0 Chornomorets | Premier League |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Chornomorets 1-0 LNZ Cherkasy | Premier League |
| Sep 28, 2024 | LNZ Cherkasy 1-1 Chornomorets | Premier League |
| Dec 3, 2023 | Chornomorets 1-3 LNZ Cherkasy | Premier League |
| Jul 30, 2023 | LNZ Cherkasy 0-2 Chornomorets | Premier League |
| Jul 8, 2023 | Chornomorets 0-0 LNZ Cherkasy | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: LNZ Cherkasy vs Chornomorets on Aug 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Chornomorets score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; LNZ Cherkasy score 1.1 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chornomorets | 1.3 | 1.1 | 6 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| LNZ Cherkasy | 1.1 | 0.7 | 9 | 2/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chornomorets sit 15th in Premier League (0 points from 2 matches) and LNZ Cherkasy sit 8th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | LNZ Cherkasy | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
| 15 | Chornomorets | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chornomorets vs LNZ Cherkasy?
- The Footlab model makes LNZ Cherkasy the favourite at 49%, against 28% for a draw and 23% for Chornomorets.
- Where and when is Chornomorets vs LNZ Cherkasy played?
- Chornomorets vs LNZ Cherkasy is played on March 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Chornomorets, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.