Bukovyna vs Karpaty: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 18Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Bukovyna, Chernivtsi
The Footlab model makes Karpaty the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Bukovyna. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bukovyna vs Karpaty?
A very open match: only 58 Elo points separate Bukovyna (1,848) and Karpaty (1,906).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bukovyna have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Karpaty have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Nyva Ternopil(away) | 4-0 | Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Karpaty(away) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Obolon'-Brovar(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 3, 2026 | LNZ Cherkasy(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Ruh Lviv(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Obolon'-Brovar(home) | 2-0 | Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bukovyna(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 10, 2026 | LNZ Cherkasy(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kryvbas KR(away) | 4-1 | Premier League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Veres Rivne(home) | 5-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Bukovyna win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Karpaty win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Karpaty 3-0 Bukovyna | Premier League |
| Sep 18, 2025 | Bukovyna 1-0 Karpaty | Cup |
| Jul 14, 2024 | Karpaty 2-3 Bukovyna | Friendlies Clubs |
| Oct 8, 2023 | Bukovyna 0-1 Karpaty | Persha Liga |
| Aug 6, 2023 | Karpaty 2-1 Bukovyna | Persha Liga |
| Oct 30, 2022 | Bukovyna 1-2 Karpaty | Persha Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Bukovyna score 2.1 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Karpaty score 2.0 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bukovyna | 2.1 | 0.8 | 9 | 5/15 | 9/15 |
| Karpaty | 2.0 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bukovyna sit 13th in Premier League (2 points from 3 matches) and Karpaty sit 1st (9 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Karpaty | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 9 |
| 13 | Bukovyna | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bukovyna vs Karpaty?
- The Footlab model makes Karpaty the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Bukovyna.
- Where and when is Bukovyna vs Karpaty played?
- Bukovyna vs Karpaty is played on March 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Bukovyna, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.