Kolos Kovalivka vs Dynamo Kyiv: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 18Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Kolos, Kovalivka
The Footlab model makes Dynamo Kyiv the favourite at 50%, against 28% for a draw and 22% for Kolos Kovalivka. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kolos Kovalivka vs Dynamo Kyiv?
Dynamo Kyiv starts as the favourite with a 168-point Elo edge (2,013 vs 1,845).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kolos Kovalivka have 10 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats; Dynamo Kyiv have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | UCSA(away) | 3-0 | Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Dynamo Kyiv(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Zorya Luhansk(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Chornomorets(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Oleksandria(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Kolos Kovalivka(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Qarabag(away) | 0-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Veres Rivne(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Qarabag(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 30, 2026 | PAOK(away) | 0-2 | UEFA Europa League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Kolos Kovalivka win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Dynamo Kyiv win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Dynamo Kyiv 2-1 Kolos Kovalivka | Premier League |
| May 13, 2026 | Dynamo Kyiv 2-1 Kolos Kovalivka | Premier League |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Kolos Kovalivka 2-1 Dynamo Kyiv | Premier League |
| May 24, 2025 | Dynamo Kyiv 1-1 Kolos Kovalivka | Premier League |
| Dec 1, 2024 | Kolos Kovalivka 1-1 Dynamo Kyiv | Premier League |
| May 5, 2024 | Dynamo Kyiv 5-0 Kolos Kovalivka | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Dynamo Kyiv vs Kolos Kovalivka on Aug 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Kolos Kovalivka score 1.5 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Dynamo Kyiv score 1.6 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kolos Kovalivka | 1.5 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Dynamo Kyiv | 1.6 | 1.0 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kolos Kovalivka sit 16th in Premier League (0 points from 2 matches) and Dynamo Kyiv sit 4th (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Dynamo Kyiv | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 16 | Kolos Kovalivka | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kolos Kovalivka vs Dynamo Kyiv?
- The Footlab model makes Dynamo Kyiv the favourite at 50%, against 28% for a draw and 22% for Kolos Kovalivka.
- Where and when is Kolos Kovalivka vs Dynamo Kyiv played?
- Kolos Kovalivka vs Dynamo Kyiv is played on March 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Kolos, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.