Cibao vs Moca: prediction and stats
Liga MayorRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 10:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Cibao the favourite at 61%, against 26% for a draw and 13% for Moca. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,640 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cibao vs Moca?
Cibao starts as the favourite with a 204-point Elo edge (1,780 vs 1,576).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Cibao vs Moca
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Cibao
4-3-3- 9D. Ledesma
- 17E. Reyes
- 7Yunior Peralta
- 27A. Sosa
- 14Jean Carlos López Moscoso
- 5Ismael Diaz
- 3J. Murillo
- 2D. Palomeque
- 4O. Florencio
- 6D. Osuna
- 1M. Lloyd
Moca
Not enough data to predict the Moca lineup.
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 11:29 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cibao have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Moca have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Vega Real(away) | 0-0 | Liga Mayor |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Atlántico(home) | 7-0 | Liga Mayor |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Delfines Del Este(away) | 2-1 | Liga Mayor |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Jarabacoa(home) | 3-0 | Liga Mayor |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Salcedo(away) | 0-0 | Liga Mayor |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Jarabacoa(home) | 1-0 | Liga Mayor |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Universidad O&M(home) | 1-2 | Liga Mayor |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Salcedo(away) | 0-1 | Liga Mayor |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Vega Real(away) | 0-1 | Liga Mayor |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Delfines Del Este(home) | 1-1 | Liga Mayor |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Cibao win, 2 draws, 3 Moca wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2026 | Moca 2-1 Cibao | Liga Mayor |
| Apr 1, 2026 | Moca 2-2 Cibao | Liga Mayor |
| Feb 22, 2026 | Cibao 1-0 Moca | Liga Mayor |
| Jan 17, 2026 | Moca 1-0 Cibao | Liga Mayor |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Moca 0-0 Cibao | Liga Mayor |
| Aug 8, 2025 | Cibao 0-1 Moca | Liga Mayor |
How many goals should we expect?
Cibao score 1.7 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Moca score 0.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 37% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cibao | 1.7 | 0.7 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Moca | 0.9 | 0.9 | 6 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cibao sit 2nd in Liga Mayor (21 points from 11 matches) and Moca sit 6th (11 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Cibao | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 22 | 7 | 21 |
| 6 | Moca | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 11 |
A question about Cibao vs Moca?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cibao vs Moca?
- The Footlab AI model makes Cibao the favourite at 61%, against 26% for a draw and 13% for Moca.
- Where and when is Cibao vs Moca played?
- Cibao vs Moca is played on October 25, 2026 at 10:00 PM (UTC), in the Liga Mayor.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.