Cieza vs Ucam Murcia: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 3Group 3 - 19Kick-off on January 24, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio de La Arboleja, Cieza
The Footlab AI model makes Cieza the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Ucam Murcia. The most likely score is 1-1. If Cieza wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,460 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cieza vs Ucam Murcia?
A very open match: only 10 Elo points separate Cieza (1,956) and Ucam Murcia (1,967).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Cieza vs Ucam Murcia
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Cieza
4-3-3- 24D. Hidalgo
- 23T. Taulemesse
- 9E. Lopez Moreno
- 20Sergio Camacho
- 10D. Pujante
- 7S. Martinez
- 4E. Luna
- 14D. Guerrero
- 3R. Ortiz
- 15A. Aguirre
- 1A. Sanchez
Ucam Murcia
4-3-3- 11Dani Aquino
- 7Alvarito
- 18J. Pontones
- 19Juanma Bravo
- 8U. Urzelay
- 20Alberto Soto
- 6O. Jaiteh
- 2J. Ruiz
- 4Ramirez Javi
- 23M. Sevila
- 1F. Ackermann
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 01:20 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cieza have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Ucam Murcia have 8, 0 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Deportiva Minera(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Granada CF(home) | 0-3 | Copa del Rey |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Ucam Murcia(away) | 4-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Intercity(home) | 3-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Orihuela(away) | 4-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Mallorca II(home) | 5-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Cieza(home) | 2-4 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 19, 2026 | Peña Deportiva(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Alcoyano(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Elche II(away) | 5-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Cieza win, 0 draws, 1 Ucam Murcia win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Ucam Murcia 2-4 Cieza | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Aug 20, 2023 | Ucam Murcia 4-0 Cieza | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Cieza score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Ucam Murcia score 2.0 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cieza | 1.9 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Ucam Murcia | 2.0 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cieza sit 4th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 (14 points from 7 matches) and Ucam Murcia sit 1st (18 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ucam Murcia | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 11 | 18 |
| 4 | Cieza | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 14 |
A question about Cieza vs Ucam Murcia?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cieza vs Ucam Murcia?
- The Footlab AI model makes Cieza the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Ucam Murcia.
- Where and when is Cieza vs Ucam Murcia played?
- Cieza vs Ucam Murcia is played on January 24, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio de La Arboleja, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.