Valencia II vs La Nucía: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 3Group 3 - 19Kick-off on January 24, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Antonio Puchades (Ciudad Deportiva Valencia), Paterna
The Footlab model makes Valencia II the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for La Nucía. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Valencia II vs La Nucía?
A very open match: only 24 Elo points separate Valencia II (1,911) and La Nucía (1,887).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Valencia II have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; La Nucía have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Olot(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Espanyol II(home) | 3-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Castellón II(away) | 4-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Sant Andreu(home) | 3-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Andratx(away) | 3-5 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Alcoyano(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 20, 2026 | Trival Valderas(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Trival Valderas(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Levante II(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| May 31, 2026 | Levante II(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Valencia II win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 La Nucía win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2024 | La Nucía 0-6 Valencia II | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Nov 12, 2023 | Valencia II 3-2 La Nucía | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Mar 13, 2021 | Valencia II 1-0 La Nucía | Primera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Dec 12, 2020 | La Nucía 1-1 Valencia II | Primera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Feb 2, 2020 | La Nucía 0-0 Valencia II | Primera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 14, 2019 | Valencia II 0-0 La Nucía | Primera División RFEF - Group 3 |
Last archived meeting: La Nucía vs Valencia II on Mar 24, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Valencia II score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; La Nucía score 1.3 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valencia II | 1.7 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| La Nucía | 1.3 | 0.7 | 8 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Valencia II | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 41 | 35 | 53 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Valencia II vs La Nucía?
- The Footlab model makes Valencia II the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for La Nucía.
- Where and when is Valencia II vs La Nucía played?
- Valencia II vs La Nucía is played on January 24, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Antonio Puchades (Ciudad Deportiva Valencia), in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.