Atlético Baleares vs Elche II: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 3Group 3 - 19Kick-off on January 24, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Balear, Palma de Mallorca, Illes Balears
The Footlab model makes Atlético Baleares the favourite at 61%, against 24% for a draw and 16% for Elche II. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Atlético Baleares vs Elche II?
Atlético Baleares starts as the favourite with a 165-point Elo edge (2,021 vs 1,856).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atlético Baleares have 10 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats; Elche II have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | SS Reyes(away) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Real Madrid II(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Mallorca II(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Poblense(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 31, 2026 | Real Jaén(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | FC Cartagena(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | Quintanar del Rey(home) | 1-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | CD Coria(away) | 0-4 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Rayo Majadahonda(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Tenerife II(away) | 3-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Atlético Baleares win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Elche II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2025 | Atlético Baleares 1-1 Elche II | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Dec 1, 2024 | Elche II 2-3 Atlético Baleares | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
Last archived meeting: Atlético Baleares vs Elche II on Apr 13, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Atlético Baleares score 1.9 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Elche II score 1.7 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético Baleares | 1.9 | 0.8 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Elche II | 1.7 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Atlético Baleares | 34 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 53 | 34 | 66 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Atlético Baleares vs Elche II?
- The Footlab model makes Atlético Baleares the favourite at 61%, against 24% for a draw and 16% for Elche II.
- Where and when is Atlético Baleares vs Elche II played?
- Atlético Baleares vs Elche II is played on January 24, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Balear, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.