Cieza vs Peña Deportiva: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 3Group 3 - 11Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio de La Arboleja, Cieza
The Footlab AI model makes Cieza the favourite at 54%, against 26% for a draw and 20% for Peña Deportiva. The most likely score is 1-1. If Cieza wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 4,728 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 7, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cieza vs Peña Deportiva?
On Elo ratings, Cieza has 1,939 points and Peña Deportiva 1,848.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Cieza vs Peña Deportiva
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Cieza
4-3-3- 20M. Casadevall
- 24D. Hidalgo
- 17Dawda
- 22Pitu
- 6Aitor Hidalgo
- 10D. Pujante
- 4Edu Luna
- 23Antón Quindimil
- 5E. Nwenyi
- 3R. Ortiz
- 1B. Gomez
Peña Deportiva
Not enough data to predict the Peña Deportiva lineup.
Computed on November 7, 2026 at 03:40 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cieza have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Peña Deportiva have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Deportiva Minera(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Granada CF(home) | 0-3 | Copa del Rey |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Ucam Murcia(away) | 4-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Intercity(home) | 3-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Orihuela(away) | 4-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Atlético Baleares(home) | 1-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Poblense(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 19, 2026 | Ucam Murcia(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Orihuela(home) | 3-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Valencia II(away) | 2-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Cieza score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Peña Deportiva score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cieza | 1.9 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Peña Deportiva | 1.3 | 1.7 | 0 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cieza sit 5th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 (14 points from 8 matches) and Peña Deportiva sit 18th (4 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Cieza | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 7 | 14 |
| 18 | Peña Deportiva | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 4 |
A question about Cieza vs Peña Deportiva?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cieza vs Peña Deportiva?
- The Footlab AI model makes Cieza the favourite at 54%, against 26% for a draw and 20% for Peña Deportiva.
- Where and when is Cieza vs Peña Deportiva played?
- Cieza vs Peña Deportiva is played on November 15, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio de La Arboleja, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.