Cirencester Town vs Merthyr Town: result 0-1 and analysis
FA CupPreliminary RoundKick-off on August 25, 2012 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The Corinium Stadium, Cirencester, Gloucestershire
Full time
What was the result of Cirencester Town vs Merthyr Town?
Merthyr Town won 0-1 on August 25, 2012.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 3 matches in all competitions, Cirencester Town have 1 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats; Merthyr Town have 0, 1 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2011 | Carshalton Athletic(away) | 1-3 | FA Trophy |
| Oct 22, 2011 | Leatherhead(home) | 3-1 | FA Trophy |
| Sep 17, 2011 | Swindon Supermarine(away) | 2-3 | FA Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2011 | Cinderford Town(away) | 0-2 | FA Cup |
| Sep 17, 2011 | Cinderford Town(home) | 1-1 | FA Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Cirencester Town score 2.0 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 3; Merthyr Town score 0.5 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cirencester Town | 2.0 | 2.3 | 0 | 3/3 | 3/3 |
| Merthyr Town | 0.5 | 1.5 | 0 | 1/2 | 0/2 |
Over the last 3 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
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