Citizen AA vs Happy Valley: result 3-2 and analysis
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 7Kick-off on October 26, 2013 at 06:30 AM (UTC)Tsing Yi Sports Ground, Tsing Yi
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What was the result of Citizen AA vs Happy Valley?
Citizen AA won 3-2 on October 26, 2013.
Goalscorers
- 17′Y. NakamuraCitizen AA
- 24′PaulinhoCitizen AA
- 73′219392Happy Valley
- 80′Y. NakamuraCitizen AA
- 90′219392Happy Valley
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Citizen AA have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Happy Valley have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2013 | Tuen Mun SA(away) | 4-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 6, 2013 | Eastern(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 29, 2013 | Kitchee(away) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Sep 21, 2013 | Southern District(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 14, 2013 | Sun Hei(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2013 | South China(home) | 1-4 | Premier League |
| Sep 29, 2013 | Yuen Long(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 15, 2013 | Tuen Mun SA(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 30, 2013 | Pegasus(away) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| May 5, 2013 | Double Flower(home) | 5-0 | HKFA 1st Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Citizen AA score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Happy Valley score 2.5 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Citizen AA | 1.4 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
| Happy Valley | 2.5 | 1.4 | 6 | 7/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy