Citizen AA vs Lucky Mile: result 1-1 and analysis
HKFA 1st DivisionRegular Season - 14Kick-off on December 7, 2014 at 05:30 AM (UTC)Happy Valley Recreation Ground #6, Hong Kong
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What was the result of Citizen AA vs Lucky Mile?
Citizen AA and Lucky Mile drew 1-1 on December 7, 2014.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Citizen AA have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Lucky Mile have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2014 | Hong Kong FC(away) | 0-1 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Nov 23, 2014 | Double Flower(home) | 4-0 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Nov 9, 2014 | Tuen Mun SA(away) | 1-1 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Nov 2, 2014 | Happy Valley(away) | 5-2 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Oct 26, 2014 | Resources Capital(home) | 1-0 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2014 | Tuen Mun SA(away) | 4-2 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Nov 22, 2014 | Resources Capital(home) | 0-0 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Nov 16, 2014 | Happy Valley(away) | 5-0 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Nov 9, 2014 | Wanchai(home) | 2-1 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Nov 1, 2014 | Shatin(home) | 2-4 | HKFA 1st Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Citizen AA score 2.4 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Lucky Mile score 1.7 and concede 3.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Citizen AA | 2.4 | 1.5 | 2 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
| Lucky Mile | 1.7 | 3.1 | 2 | 10/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Citizen AA sit 12th in HKFA 1st Division (4 points from 13 matches) and Lucky Mile sit 13th (3 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Citizen AA | 13 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 14 | 46 | 4 |
| 13 | Lucky Mile | 13 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 12 | 58 | 3 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy