Citizen AA vs Pegasus: result 2-1 and analysis
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 21Kick-off on May 4, 2014 at 09:30 AM (UTC)Tsing Yi Sports Ground, Tsing Yi
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What was the result of Citizen AA vs Pegasus?
Citizen AA won 2-1 on May 4, 2014.
Goalscorers
- 8′Admir RascicPegasus
- 82′StefanCitizen AA
- 90′Kwok Keung ShamCitizen AA
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Citizen AA have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Pegasus have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2014 | Southern District(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Apr 6, 2014 | Rangers(away) | 2-3 | Premier League |
| Mar 30, 2014 | Yuen Long(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Mar 23, 2014 | Rangers(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Mar 16, 2014 | Kitchee(home) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2014 | Rangers(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Mar 30, 2014 | Eastern(home) | 5-2 | Premier League |
| Mar 22, 2014 | Yuen Long(home) | 4-0 | Premier League |
| Mar 15, 2014 | Southern District(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Mar 9, 2014 | Sun Hei(home) | 1-3 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Citizen AA win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Pegasus win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2014 | Pegasus 0-1 Citizen AA | Premier League |
| Apr 12, 2013 | Pegasus 0-0 Citizen AA | Premier League |
| Oct 1, 2012 | Citizen AA 2-1 Pegasus | Premier League |
| Mar 17, 2012 | Pegasus 6-4 Citizen AA | Premier League |
| Dec 4, 2011 | Citizen AA 2-3 Pegasus | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Citizen AA score 1.7 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Pegasus score 2.5 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Citizen AA | 1.7 | 1.9 | 1 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
| Pegasus | 2.5 | 1.5 | 4 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy