Citizen AA vs Pegasus: result 2-3 and analysis
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 7Kick-off on December 4, 2011 at 09:30 AM (UTC)Mong Kok Stadium, Hong Kong
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What was the result of Citizen AA vs Pegasus?
Pegasus won 2-3 on December 4, 2011.
Goalscorers
- 7′227438Citizen AA
- 24′227577Pegasus (pen.)
- 27′Hélio GonçalvesCitizen AA
- 69′227577Pegasus
- 81′Godfred KarikariPegasus
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 6 matches in all competitions, Citizen AA have 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats; Pegasus have 4, 0 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2011 | Kitchee(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 21, 2011 | Wofoo Tai Po(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 14, 2011 | BCGS Hong Kong Sapling(away) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 25, 2011 | Tuen Mun SA(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 16, 2011 | Rangers(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2011 | South China(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 23, 2011 | Kitchee(away) | 2-3 | Premier League |
| Oct 16, 2011 | Wofoo Tai Po(away) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Sep 24, 2011 | Sham Shui Po(away) | 4-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 17, 2011 | BCGS Hong Kong Sapling(home) | 4-0 | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Citizen AA score 1.5 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 6; Pegasus score 2.8 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Citizen AA | 1.5 | 1.0 | 2 | 4/6 | 4/6 |
| Pegasus | 2.8 | 1.3 | 2 | 4/6 | 6/6 |
Over the last 6 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy