Citizen AA vs South China: result 3-3 and analysis
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 9Kick-off on January 6, 2012 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Mong Kok Stadium, Hong Kong
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What was the result of Citizen AA vs South China?
Citizen AA and South China drew 3-3 on January 6, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 3′PaulinhoCitizen AA
- 41′Y. NakamuraCitizen AA
- 58′Au Yeung Yiu-ChungSouth China
- 66′Siu Ki ChanSouth China
- 84′110194Citizen AA
- 90′Festus BaiseSouth China (o.g.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 8 matches in all competitions, Citizen AA have 4 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; South China have 5, 1 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2011 | Sun Hei(away) | 3-2 | Premier League |
| Dec 4, 2011 | Pegasus(home) | 2-3 | Premier League |
| Nov 20, 2011 | Kitchee(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 21, 2011 | Wofoo Tai Po(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 14, 2011 | BCGS Hong Kong Sapling(away) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2011 | Kitchee(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Dec 3, 2011 | Wofoo Tai Po(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Nov 20, 2011 | Pegasus(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 22, 2011 | BCGS Hong Kong Sapling(away) | 5-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 15, 2011 | Rangers(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Citizen AA score 1.8 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 8; South China score 2.1 and concede 0.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Citizen AA | 1.8 | 1.4 | 2 | 6/8 | 6/8 |
| South China | 2.1 | 0.5 | 6 | 2/8 | 5/8 |
Over the last 8 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy