Città di Anagni vs Afragolese: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone GGroup G - 5Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Campo Sportivo Caslini Andrea, Colleferro
The Footlab model makes Città di Anagni the favourite at 36%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Afragolese. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Città di Anagni vs Afragolese?
A very open match: only 43 Elo points separate Città di Anagni (1,657) and Afragolese (1,701).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Città di Anagni have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Afragolese have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2020 | Trastevere(away) | 1-3 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Feb 23, 2020 | Torres(home) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Feb 16, 2020 | Arzachena(away) | 4-2 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Feb 9, 2020 | Muravera(home) | 1-3 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Feb 2, 2020 | Latina(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Francavilla(away) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Gravina(home) | 0-6 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Real Normanna(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Paganese(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Apr 2, 2026 | Virtus Francavilla(home) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone H |
How many goals should we expect?
Città di Anagni score 1.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Afragolese score 1.0 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Città di Anagni | 1.2 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Afragolese | 1.0 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Città di Anagni vs Afragolese?
- The Footlab model makes Città di Anagni the favourite at 36%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Afragolese.
- Where and when is Città di Anagni vs Afragolese played?
- Città di Anagni vs Afragolese is played on September 27, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Sportivo Caslini Andrea, in the Serie D - Girone G.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.