Paganese vs Gelbison: result 2-3 and analysis
Serie D - Girone GGroup G - 5Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Marcello Torre, Pagani
Full time
What was the result of Paganese vs Gelbison?
Gelbison won 2-3 on September 27, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 5′?Paganese
- 28′?Paganese
- 54′?Gelbison
- 67′?Gelbison
- 83′?Gelbison
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Paganese win at 54%: prediction missed. Most likely score announced: 1-1. Actual score: 2-3.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Paganese have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Gelbison have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Trastevere(away) | 6-1 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Afragolese(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Latte Dolce(away) | 3-2 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Unipomezia(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone G |
| May 17, 2026 | Martina Franca(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Sarnese(away) | 1-3 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Budoni(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Trastevere(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Afragolese(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone G |
| May 10, 2026 | Nissa(away) | 0-4 | Serie D - Girone I |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Paganese wins, 3 draws, 1 Gelbison win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2025 | Paganese 1-1 Gelbison | Serie D - Girone G |
| Nov 24, 2024 | Gelbison 1-1 Paganese | Serie D - Girone G |
| Mar 3, 2024 | Paganese 1-1 Gelbison | Serie D - Girone H |
| Oct 28, 2023 | Gelbison 3-0 Paganese | Serie D - Girone H |
How many goals should we expect?
Paganese score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Gelbison score 1.3 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paganese | 1.7 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Gelbison | 1.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Paganese sit 7th in Serie D - Girone G (10 points from 6 matches) and Gelbison sit 10th (7 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Paganese | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 9 | 10 |
| 10 | Gelbison | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 7 |
A question about Paganese vs Gelbison?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy