Monastir vs Albalonga: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone GGroup G - 5Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Monastir the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Albalonga. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Monastir vs Albalonga?
A very open match: only 49 Elo points separate Monastir (1,746) and Albalonga (1,697).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Monastir have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Albalonga have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Trastevere(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone G |
| May 10, 2026 | Flaminia(home) | 3-3 | Serie D - Girone G |
| May 2, 2026 | USD Palmese(away) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Nocerina(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Albalonga(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Trastevere(away) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone G |
| May 3, 2026 | Scafatese(home) | 1-4 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Trastevere(away) | 0-3 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Monastir(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Flaminia(away) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone G |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Monastir win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Albalonga win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Albalonga 1-1 Monastir | Serie D - Girone G |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Monastir 2-1 Albalonga | Serie D - Girone G |
Last archived meeting: Albalonga vs Monastir on Apr 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Monastir score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Albalonga score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monastir | 1.7 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Albalonga | 1.5 | 1.5 | 4 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Monastir sit 3rd in Serie D - Girone G (53 points from 34 matches) and Albalonga sit 5th (50 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Monastir | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 51 | 44 | 53 |
| 5 | Albalonga | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 56 | 55 | 50 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Monastir vs Albalonga?
- The Footlab model makes Monastir the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Albalonga.
- Where and when is Monastir vs Albalonga played?
- Monastir vs Albalonga is played on September 27, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the Serie D - Girone G.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.