Cittadella Vis Modena vs Pavia: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone DGroup D - 11Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Allegretti Campo A, San Damaso
The Footlab AI model makes Cittadella Vis Modena the favourite at 46%, against 29% for a draw and 25% for Pavia. The most likely score is 1-1. If Cittadella Vis Modena wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,761 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cittadella Vis Modena vs Pavia?
A very open match: only 73 Elo points separate Cittadella Vis Modena (1,733) and Pavia (1,660).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Cittadella Vis Modena vs Pavia
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Cittadella Vis Modena
Not enough data to predict the Cittadella Vis Modena lineup.
Pavia
Not enough data to predict the Pavia lineup.
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 10:05 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cittadella Vis Modena have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Pavia have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Oltrepò(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 11, 2026 | USD Casatese(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Sasso Marconi Zola(away) | 0-1 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Pontedera(away) | 3-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Correggese(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Pistoiese(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Varesina(home) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Sant'Angelo(home) | 1-3 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Correggese(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Arconatese(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
How many goals should we expect?
Cittadella Vis Modena score 0.7 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Pavia score 0.9 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cittadella Vis Modena | 0.7 | 1.0 | 8 | 2/15 | 4/15 |
| Pavia | 0.9 | 1.4 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cittadella Vis Modena sit 9th in Serie D - Girone D (10 points from 7 matches) and Pavia sit 11th (8 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Cittadella Vis Modena | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 10 |
| 11 | Pavia | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 8 |
A question about Cittadella Vis Modena vs Pavia?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cittadella Vis Modena vs Pavia?
- The Footlab AI model makes Cittadella Vis Modena the favourite at 46%, against 29% for a draw and 25% for Pavia.
- Where and when is Cittadella Vis Modena vs Pavia played?
- Cittadella Vis Modena vs Pavia is played on November 8, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Allegretti Campo A, in the Serie D - Girone D.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.