Coriano vs Varesina: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone DGroup D - 11Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Varesina the favourite at 42%, against 29% for a draw and 29% for Coriano. The most likely score is 1-1. If Varesina wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,474 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Coriano vs Varesina?
Varesina starts as the favourite with a 114-point Elo edge (1,756 vs 1,642).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Coriano vs Varesina
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Coriano
Not enough data to predict the Coriano lineup.
Varesina
Not enough data to predict the Varesina lineup.
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 11:35 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Coriano have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Varesina have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Correggese(away) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Arconatese(home) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Solbiatese(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Sant'Angelo(away) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Pontedera(home) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Città di Varese(home) | 3-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Castellanzese(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Pro Sesto(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Pavia(away) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Pro Patria(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
How many goals should we expect?
Coriano score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Varesina score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coriano | 0.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Varesina | 1.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Coriano sit 16th in Serie D - Girone D (6 points from 10 matches) and Varesina sit 14th (11 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Varesina | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 14 | 11 |
| 16 | Coriano | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 6 |
A question about Coriano vs Varesina?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Coriano vs Varesina?
- The Footlab AI model makes Varesina the favourite at 42%, against 29% for a draw and 29% for Coriano.
- Where and when is Coriano vs Varesina played?
- Coriano vs Varesina is played on November 8, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC), in the Serie D - Girone D.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.