Coriano vs Varesina: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone DGroup D - 11Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Varesina the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Coriano. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Coriano vs Varesina?
A very open match: only 78 Elo points separate Coriano (1,644) and Varesina (1,722).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Coriano have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Varesina have 5, 7 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Crema(away) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone D |
| May 3, 2026 | Pro Palazzolo(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Piacenza(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Pistoiese(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Imolese(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Castellanzese(away) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
| May 3, 2026 | Caldiero Terme(away) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Breno(home) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Milan II(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Chievo(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
How many goals should we expect?
Coriano score 1.0 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Varesina score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coriano | 1.0 | 1.2 | 4 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
| Varesina | 1.3 | 1.1 | 3 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Coriano | 33 | 7 | 9 | 17 | 28 | 44 | 30 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Coriano vs Varesina?
- The Footlab model makes Varesina the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Coriano.
- Where and when is Coriano vs Varesina played?
- Coriano vs Varesina is played on November 8, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC), in the Serie D - Girone D.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.