Cittadella vs Alcione: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone AGirone A - 18Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Pier Cesare Tombolato, Cittadella
The Footlab model makes Cittadella the favourite at 43%, against 30% for a draw and 27% for Alcione. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cittadella vs Alcione?
A very open match: only 37 Elo points separate Cittadella (1,783) and Alcione (1,747).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cittadella have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Alcione have 2, 7 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Pergolettese(home) | 2-0 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Atalanta II(home) | 2-2 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Luparense(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Padova(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Cremonese(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Renate(home) | 3-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Novara(home) | 0-1 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Mantova(away) | 2-6 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Torino(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | Lumezzane(away) | 0-0 | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Cittadella win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Alcione win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2026 | Alcione 2-0 Cittadella | Serie C - Girone A |
| Aug 29, 2025 | Cittadella 1-0 Alcione | Serie C - Girone A |
Last archived meeting: Alcione vs Cittadella on Jan 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Cittadella score 1.2 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Alcione score 0.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cittadella | 1.2 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Alcione | 0.7 | 1.3 | 3 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cittadella sit 3rd in Serie C - Girone A (3 points from 1 matches) and Alcione sit 1st (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alcione | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Cittadella | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cittadella vs Alcione?
- The Footlab model makes Cittadella the favourite at 43%, against 30% for a draw and 27% for Alcione.
- Where and when is Cittadella vs Alcione played?
- Cittadella vs Alcione is played on December 13, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Pier Cesare Tombolato, in the Serie C - Girone A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.