Desenzano Calvina vs Cittadella: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone AGirone A - 19Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Tre Stelle, Desenzano del Garda
The Footlab AI model makes Cittadella the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 24% for Desenzano Calvina. The most likely score is 1-1. If Cittadella wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,564 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Desenzano Calvina vs Cittadella?
A very open match: only 19 Elo points separate Desenzano Calvina (1,914) and Cittadella (1,933).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Desenzano Calvina vs Cittadella
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Desenzano Calvina
4-3-3- 77Filippo Liberati
- 9C. Santini
- 10V. Millico
- 43L. Lupano
- 24K. Biondi
- 30A. Procaccio
- 6T. Panelli
- 70M. Parlato
- 19A. Pilati
- 3L. Giorgi
- 1Stefano Minelli
Cittadella
4-3-3- 10M. Antonucci
- 16J. Ekuban
- 9D. Mensah
- 19F. D'Alessio
- 33G. Frisenna
- 23L. Paolucci
- 43A. Ndrecka
- 87B. Martella
- 24M. Gobbato
- 55A. Redolfi
- 69A. Zanellati
Computed on November 5, 2026 at 02:14 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Desenzano Calvina have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Cittadella have 12, 1 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2026 | Novara(away) | 0-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Dolomiti Bellunesi(away) | 1-0 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Giana Erminio(home) | 1-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Alcione(away) | 1-4 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Dolomiti Bellunesi(home) | 2-0 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Treviso(home) | 1-0 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Union Brescia(away) | 2-1 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Union Brescia(away) | 1-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 19, 2026 | Arzignano Valchiampo(home) | 1-0 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Novara(away) | 2-0 | Serie C - Girone A |
How many goals should we expect?
Desenzano Calvina score 0.8 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Cittadella score 1.8 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Desenzano Calvina | 0.8 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Cittadella | 1.8 | 0.7 | 8 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Desenzano Calvina sit 12th in Serie C - Girone A (13 points from 12 matches) and Cittadella sit 1st (30 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cittadella | 12 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 6 | 30 |
| 12 | Desenzano Calvina | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 13 |
A question about Desenzano Calvina vs Cittadella?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Desenzano Calvina vs Cittadella?
- The Footlab AI model makes Cittadella the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 24% for Desenzano Calvina.
- Where and when is Desenzano Calvina vs Cittadella played?
- Desenzano Calvina vs Cittadella is played on December 20, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Tre Stelle, in the Serie C - Girone A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.