Match

Novara vs Union Brescia: prediction and stats

Serie C - Girone AGirone A - 18Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Silvio Piola, Novara

NovaraUnion Brescia

The Footlab AI model makes Union Brescia the favourite at 50%, against 28% for a draw and 22% for Novara. The most likely score is 1-1. If Union Brescia wins, the most likely score is 0-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,904 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Novara vs Union Brescia?

Union Brescia starts as the favourite with a 146-point Elo edge (1,913 vs 1,767).

22%28%50%
Novara winDrawUnion Brescia win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Novara vs Union Brescia

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Novara

4-3-3
  1. 14M. Romano
  2. 20M. Da Graca
  3. 9D. Zuppel
  1. 99G. Basso
  2. 19R. Collodel
  3. 23E. Zambataro
  1. 28A. Cannavaro
  2. 70A. Valdesi
  3. 15O. Khailoti
  4. 5F. Lorenzini
  1. 33F. Brancolini

Union Brescia

4-3-3
  1. 9V. Crespi
  2. 91A. Spagnoli
  3. 30J. Pellegrini
  1. 25A. Rizzo Pinna
  2. 6A. Mercati
  3. 8D. Balestrero
  1. 28L. Silvestri
  2. 15T. Casasola
  3. 24B. Boci
  4. 95S. Sina
  1. 43G. Zacchi

Computed on October 21, 2026 at 12:36 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Novara have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Union Brescia have 6, 6 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Novara
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026Albinoleffe(away)2-2Serie C - Girone A
Oct 10, 2026Cittadella(home)0-2Serie C - Girone A
Oct 4, 2026Dolomiti Bellunesi(away)2-1Serie C - Girone A
Sep 26, 2026Ospitaletto(home)0-2Serie C - Girone A
Sep 20, 2026Athletic Carpi(home)2-2Serie C - Girone A
Union Brescia
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 19, 2026Giana Erminio(away)1-2Serie C - Girone A
Oct 9, 2026PRO Vercelli(home)2-0Serie C - Girone A
Oct 4, 2026Lecco(away)2-2Serie C - Girone A
Sep 27, 2026Dolomiti Bellunesi(home)1-1Serie C - Girone A
Sep 20, 2026Alcione(away)4-0Serie C - Girone A

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Novara wins, 2 draws, 0 Union Brescia wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 7, 2026Novara 0-0 Union BresciaSerie C - Girone A
Sep 25, 2025Union Brescia 1-1 NovaraSerie C - Girone A

Last archived meeting: Novara vs Union Brescia on Feb 7, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Novara score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Union Brescia score 1.6 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Novara1.11.147/157/15
Union Brescia1.61.158/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Novara sit 13th in Serie C - Girone A (10 points from 10 matches) and Union Brescia sit 3rd (19 points from 10 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Union Brescia1054117819
13Novara10244101410

A question about Novara vs Union Brescia?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Novara vs Union Brescia?
The Footlab AI model makes Union Brescia the favourite at 50%, against 28% for a draw and 22% for Novara.
Where and when is Novara vs Union Brescia played?
Novara vs Union Brescia is played on December 13, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Silvio Piola, in the Serie C - Girone A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Novara and Union Brescia

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