Ciudad de Lucena vs Atlético Central: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 16Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Ciudad de Lucena, Lucena
The Footlab model makes Ciudad de Lucena the favourite at 61%, against 25% for a draw and 13% for Atlético Central. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ciudad de Lucena vs Atlético Central?
A very open match: only 96 Elo points separate Ciudad de Lucena (1,949) and Atlético Central (1,853).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ciudad de Lucena have 12 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats; Atlético Central have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Dos Hermanas(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| May 3, 2026 | Cádiz II(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Tomares(home) | 5-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Bollullos(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Sevilla III(away) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 20, 2026 | Caudal(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Caudal(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Dos Hermanas(away) | 4-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| May 31, 2026 | Dos Hermanas(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| May 23, 2026 | Bollullos(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Ciudad de Lucena win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Atlético Central win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2026 | Ciudad de Lucena 2-1 Atlético Central | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Atlético Central 1-0 Ciudad de Lucena | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Jun 8, 2025 | Ciudad de Lucena 0-0 Atlético Central | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Jun 1, 2025 | Atlético Central 2-1 Ciudad de Lucena | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Ciudad de Lucena 0-0 Atlético Central | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Dec 8, 2024 | Atlético Central 2-1 Ciudad de Lucena | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
Last archived meeting: Ciudad de Lucena vs Atlético Central on Jan 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ciudad de Lucena score 2.5 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Atlético Central score 1.2 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 38% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ciudad de Lucena | 2.5 | 0.7 | 9 | 5/15 | 11/15 |
| Atlético Central | 1.2 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ciudad de Lucena vs Atlético Central?
- The Footlab model makes Ciudad de Lucena the favourite at 61%, against 25% for a draw and 13% for Atlético Central.
- Where and when is Ciudad de Lucena vs Atlético Central played?
- Ciudad de Lucena vs Atlético Central is played on December 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Ciudad de Lucena, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.