Match

Xerez vs Mijas Las Lagunas: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 · Matchday 16Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de Chapín, Jerez de la Frontera

XerezMijas Las Lagunas

The Footlab AI model makes Xerez the favourite at 49%, against 28% for a draw and 23% for Mijas Las Lagunas. The most likely score is 1-1. If Xerez wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 6,292 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Xerez vs Mijas Las Lagunas?

A very open match: only 37 Elo points separate Xerez (2,003) and Mijas Las Lagunas (1,967).

49%28%23%
Xerez winDrawMijas Las Lagunas win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Xerez vs Mijas Las Lagunas

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Xerez

4-3-3
  1. 23O. Lorenzo
  2. 10Zequi
  3. 9R. Mesa
  1. 8Ismael Gutiérrez
  2. 16R. Lopez
  3. 14J. Lopez
  1. 6Fali
  2. 19Moisés Rodríguez
  3. 3F. Chacartegui
  4. 21Victor Lopez
  1. 13M. Garcia

Mijas Las Lagunas

Not enough data to predict the Mijas Las Lagunas lineup.

Computed on November 15, 2026 at 12:56 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Xerez have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Mijas Las Lagunas have 6, 7 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Xerez
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 8, 2026Sanluqueño(away)4-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Nov 1, 2026Tamaraceite(away)3-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Oct 29, 2026Cadiz(home)1-3Copa del Rey
Oct 25, 2026Marbella(home)1-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Oct 18, 2026Ciudad de Lucena(home)0-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Mijas Las Lagunas
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 10, 2026Real Jaén(home)1-2Copa del Rey
Nov 7, 2026Recreativo Huelva(away)1-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Nov 1, 2026Marbella(away)0-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Oct 24, 2026Real Betis II(home)1-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Oct 18, 2026Tenerife II(away)3-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 4

How many goals should we expect?

Xerez score 1.0 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Mijas Las Lagunas score 1.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Xerez1.00.776/155/15
Mijas Las Lagunas1.91.3410/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Xerez sit 6th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 (15 points from 10 matches) and Mijas Las Lagunas sit 7th (15 points from 10 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Xerez1043312715
7Mijas Las Lagunas10361181415

A question about Xerez vs Mijas Las Lagunas?

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Xerez vs Mijas Las Lagunas?
The Footlab AI model makes Xerez the favourite at 49%, against 28% for a draw and 23% for Mijas Las Lagunas.
Where and when is Xerez vs Mijas Las Lagunas played?
Xerez vs Mijas Las Lagunas is played on December 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Chapín, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Xerez and Mijas Las Lagunas