Badajoz vs Estepona: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 16Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Nuevo Vivero, Badajoz
The Footlab AI model makes Badajoz the favourite at 53%, against 27% for a draw and 20% for Estepona. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,664 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Badajoz vs Estepona?
On Elo ratings, Badajoz has 2,004 points and Estepona 1,942.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Badajoz vs Estepona
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Badajoz
Not enough data to predict the Badajoz lineup.
Estepona
4-3-3- 20Daniel Sancho
- 10Ale Conteras
- 16D. Ballarin
- 15Javi Duarte
- 6J. Aguilera
- 17S. Baradji
- 26A. Gonzalez
- 3A. Candelas
- 5Titi Fernández
- 22José Caro
- 1J. Ruiz
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 12:53 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Badajoz have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Estepona have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Marbella(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Sevilla Atletico(away) | 2-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Las Palmas II(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Real Betis II(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Xerez(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Atlético Central(home) | 3-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Don Benito(home) | 3-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Tenerife II(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Puente Genil(away) | 2-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Linares Deportivo(home) | 1-4 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
How many goals should we expect?
Badajoz score 1.7 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Estepona score 1.8 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Badajoz | 1.7 | 0.5 | 8 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Estepona | 1.8 | 1.3 | 3 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Badajoz sit 5th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 (11 points from 6 matches) and Estepona sit 7th (10 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Badajoz | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 11 |
| 7 | Estepona | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 10 |
A question about Badajoz vs Estepona?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Badajoz vs Estepona?
- The Footlab AI model makes Badajoz the favourite at 53%, against 27% for a draw and 20% for Estepona.
- Where and when is Badajoz vs Estepona played?
- Badajoz vs Estepona is played on December 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Nuevo Vivero, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Dec 20, 2026Recreativo HuelvavsDon Benito
- Dec 20, 2026TamaraceitevsLas Palmas II
- Dec 20, 2026Ciudad de LucenavsAtlético Central
- Dec 20, 2026Real Betis IIvsSevilla Atletico
- Dec 20, 2026XerezvsMijas Las Lagunas
- Dec 20, 2026Atlético PasovsSanluqueño
- Dec 20, 2026Tenerife IIvsAntoniano