Match

Ciudad de Lucena vs Real Betis II: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 12Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Ciudad de Lucena, Lucena

Ciudad de LucenaReal Betis II

The Footlab model makes Ciudad de Lucena the favourite at 55%, against 26% for a draw and 18% for Real Betis II. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Ciudad de Lucena vs Real Betis II?

A very open match: only 84 Elo points separate Ciudad de Lucena (1,952) and Real Betis II (1,868).

Ciudad de Lucena win55 %
Draw26 %
Real Betis II win18 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ciudad de Lucena have 12 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats; Real Betis II have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Ciudad de Lucena
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026Dos Hermanas(home)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 10
May 3, 2026Cádiz II(away)0-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 10
Apr 26, 2026Tomares(home)5-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 10
Apr 18, 2026Bollullos(home)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 10
Apr 12, 2026Sevilla III(away)3-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 10
Real Betis II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 23, 2026FC Cartagena(away)2-2Primera División RFEF - Group 2
May 16, 2026Tarazona(home)3-0Primera División RFEF - Group 2
May 10, 2026Real Murcia(away)2-1Primera División RFEF - Group 2
May 2, 2026Antequera(home)1-0Primera División RFEF - Group 2
Apr 24, 2026Atlético Madrid II(away)1-3Primera División RFEF - Group 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Ciudad de Lucena win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Real Betis II win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 31, 2019Ciudad de Lucena 1-0 Real Betis IITercera División RFEF - Group 10

Last archived meeting: Ciudad de Lucena vs Real Betis II on Oct 31, 2019

How many goals should we expect?

Ciudad de Lucena score 2.5 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Real Betis II score 1.7 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Ciudad de Lucena2.50.795/1511/15
Real Betis II1.71.8211/1513/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Ciudad de Lucena vs Real Betis II?
The Footlab model makes Ciudad de Lucena the favourite at 55%, against 26% for a draw and 18% for Real Betis II.
Where and when is Ciudad de Lucena vs Real Betis II played?
Ciudad de Lucena vs Real Betis II is played on November 22, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Ciudad de Lucena, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Ciudad de Lucena and Real Betis II

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