Ciudad de Lucena vs Real Betis II: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 12Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Ciudad de Lucena, Lucena
The Footlab model makes Ciudad de Lucena the favourite at 55%, against 26% for a draw and 18% for Real Betis II. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ciudad de Lucena vs Real Betis II?
A very open match: only 84 Elo points separate Ciudad de Lucena (1,952) and Real Betis II (1,868).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ciudad de Lucena have 12 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats; Real Betis II have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Dos Hermanas(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| May 3, 2026 | Cádiz II(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Tomares(home) | 5-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Bollullos(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Sevilla III(away) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | FC Cartagena(away) | 2-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 16, 2026 | Tarazona(home) | 3-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 10, 2026 | Real Murcia(away) | 2-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 2, 2026 | Antequera(home) | 1-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 24, 2026 | Atlético Madrid II(away) | 1-3 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Ciudad de Lucena win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Real Betis II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2019 | Ciudad de Lucena 1-0 Real Betis II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
Last archived meeting: Ciudad de Lucena vs Real Betis II on Oct 31, 2019
How many goals should we expect?
Ciudad de Lucena score 2.5 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Real Betis II score 1.7 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ciudad de Lucena | 2.5 | 0.7 | 9 | 5/15 | 11/15 |
| Real Betis II | 1.7 | 1.8 | 2 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ciudad de Lucena vs Real Betis II?
- The Footlab model makes Ciudad de Lucena the favourite at 55%, against 26% for a draw and 18% for Real Betis II.
- Where and when is Ciudad de Lucena vs Real Betis II played?
- Ciudad de Lucena vs Real Betis II is played on November 22, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Ciudad de Lucena, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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