Estepona vs Sevilla Atletico: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 12Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Francisco Muñoz Pérez, Estepona
The Footlab model makes Estepona the favourite at 59%, against 25% for a draw and 15% for Sevilla Atletico. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Estepona vs Sevilla Atletico?
Estepona starts as the favourite with a 165-point Elo edge (1,926 vs 1,761).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Estepona have 9 wins, 5 draws and 1 defeats; Sevilla Atletico have 1, 5 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Real Madrid III(home) | 3-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 10, 2026 | Real Madrid III(away) | 2-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 3, 2026 | Yeclano(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Águilas(home) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Linares Deportivo(away) | 3-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Alcorcon(home) | 1-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 16, 2026 | Villarreal II(away) | 0-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 10, 2026 | Eldense(home) | 2-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 2, 2026 | Gimnastic(away) | 1-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Algeciras(home) | 0-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Estepona win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Sevilla Atletico win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2024 | Sevilla Atletico 1-0 Estepona | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 29, 2023 | Estepona 0-4 Sevilla Atletico | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
Last archived meeting: Sevilla Atletico vs Estepona on Mar 9, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Estepona score 1.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Sevilla Atletico score 0.6 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estepona | 1.7 | 0.9 | 4 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
| Sevilla Atletico | 0.6 | 1.5 | 2 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Estepona | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 40 | 44 | 44 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Estepona vs Sevilla Atletico?
- The Footlab model makes Estepona the favourite at 59%, against 25% for a draw and 15% for Sevilla Atletico.
- Where and when is Estepona vs Sevilla Atletico played?
- Estepona vs Sevilla Atletico is played on November 22, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Francisco Muñoz Pérez, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 22, 2026Don BenitovsMarbella
- Nov 22, 2026AntonianovsAtlético Paso
- Nov 22, 2026Linares DeportivovsSanluqueño
- Nov 22, 2026Recreativo HuelvavsBadajoz
- Nov 22, 2026Ciudad de LucenavsReal Betis II
- Nov 22, 2026Tenerife IIvsTamaraceite
- Nov 22, 2026Mijas Las LagunasvsLas Palmas II
- Nov 22, 2026Atlético CentralvsXerez