Match

Estepona vs Sevilla Atletico: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 12Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Francisco Muñoz Pérez, Estepona

EsteponaSevilla Atletico

The Footlab model makes Estepona the favourite at 59%, against 25% for a draw and 15% for Sevilla Atletico. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Estepona vs Sevilla Atletico?

Estepona starts as the favourite with a 165-point Elo edge (1,926 vs 1,761).

Estepona win59 %
Draw25 %
Sevilla Atletico win15 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Estepona have 9 wins, 5 draws and 1 defeats; Sevilla Atletico have 1, 5 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Estepona
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 16, 2026Real Madrid III(home)3-1Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs
May 10, 2026Real Madrid III(away)2-2Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs
May 3, 2026Yeclano(away)1-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 26, 2026Águilas(home)2-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 19, 2026Linares Deportivo(away)3-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Sevilla Atletico
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 23, 2026Alcorcon(home)1-1Primera División RFEF - Group 2
May 16, 2026Villarreal II(away)0-2Primera División RFEF - Group 2
May 10, 2026Eldense(home)2-2Primera División RFEF - Group 2
May 2, 2026Gimnastic(away)1-2Primera División RFEF - Group 2
Apr 26, 2026Algeciras(home)0-2Primera División RFEF - Group 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Estepona win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Sevilla Atletico win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 9, 2024Sevilla Atletico 1-0 EsteponaSegunda División RFEF - Group 4
Oct 29, 2023Estepona 0-4 Sevilla AtleticoSegunda División RFEF - Group 4

Last archived meeting: Sevilla Atletico vs Estepona on Mar 9, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Estepona score 1.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Sevilla Atletico score 0.6 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Estepona1.70.9410/157/15
Sevilla Atletico0.61.527/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
13Estepona3412814404444

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Estepona vs Sevilla Atletico?
The Footlab model makes Estepona the favourite at 59%, against 25% for a draw and 15% for Sevilla Atletico.
Where and when is Estepona vs Sevilla Atletico played?
Estepona vs Sevilla Atletico is played on November 22, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Francisco Muñoz Pérez, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Estepona and Sevilla Atletico

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