Estepona vs Sevilla Atletico: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 12Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Francisco Muñoz Pérez, Estepona
The Footlab AI model makes Estepona the favourite at 64%, against 23% for a draw and 13% for Sevilla Atletico. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,545 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Estepona vs Sevilla Atletico?
Estepona starts as the favourite with a 113-point Elo edge (1,911 vs 1,798).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Estepona vs Sevilla Atletico
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Estepona
4-3-3- 20Daniel Sancho
- 10Ale Conteras
- 16D. Ballarin
- 15Javi Duarte
- 6J. Aguilera
- 17S. Baradji
- 26A. Gonzalez
- 3A. Candelas
- 5Titi Fernández
- 22José Caro
- 1J. Ruiz
Sevilla Atletico
4-3-3- 28M. Castillo
- 15J. Pedraza
- 26B. Sow
- 8Eduardo Altozano Agudo
- 41Jesus Cruz
- 27N. Guillen
- 20Valentino Fattore
- 19S. Martinez
- 24A. Espineira
- 2J. Moreno
- 25L. Luchino
Computed on November 5, 2026 at 03:56 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Estepona have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Sevilla Atletico have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Antoniano(away) | 1-4 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Ciudad de Lucena(home) | 2-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Marbella(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Atlético Central(home) | 3-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Don Benito(home) | 3-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Puente Genil(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Tenerife II(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Antoniano(away) | 3-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Mijas Las Lagunas(away) | 1-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Badajoz(home) | 2-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Estepona wins, 0 draws, 2 Sevilla Atletico wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2024 | Sevilla Atletico 1-0 Estepona | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 29, 2023 | Estepona 0-4 Sevilla Atletico | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
Last archived meeting: Sevilla Atletico vs Estepona on Mar 9, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Estepona score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Sevilla Atletico score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estepona | 1.7 | 1.5 | 3 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
| Sevilla Atletico | 1.3 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Estepona sit 11th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 (12 points from 9 matches) and Sevilla Atletico sit 7th (13 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Sevilla Atletico | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 13 | 13 |
| 11 | Estepona | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 15 | 12 |
A question about Estepona vs Sevilla Atletico?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Estepona vs Sevilla Atletico?
- The Footlab AI model makes Estepona the favourite at 64%, against 23% for a draw and 13% for Sevilla Atletico.
- Where and when is Estepona vs Sevilla Atletico played?
- Estepona vs Sevilla Atletico is played on November 22, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Francisco Muñoz Pérez, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 22, 2026Don BenitovsMarbella
- Nov 22, 2026AntonianovsAtlético Paso
- Nov 22, 2026Linares DeportivovsSanluqueño
- Nov 22, 2026Recreativo HuelvavsBadajoz
- Nov 22, 2026Ciudad de LucenavsReal Betis II
- Nov 22, 2026Tenerife IIvsTamaraceite
- Nov 22, 2026Mijas Las LagunasvsLas Palmas II
- Nov 22, 2026Atlético CentralvsXerez