Where and when is Don Benito vs Marbella played?

Don Benito vs Marbella is played on November 22, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Vicente Sanz, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Don Benito vs Marbella: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 12Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Vicente Sanz, Don Benito

Don Benito

Marbella

The Footlab model makes Don Benito the favourite at 57%, against 26% for a draw and 17% for Marbella. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Don Benito vs Marbella?

Don Benito starts as the favourite with a 113-point Elo edge (1,911 vs 1,799).

Don Benito win57 %

Draw26 %

Marbella win17 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Don Benito have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Marbella have 5, 1 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Don Benito
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	Moralo(away)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 14
May 3, 2026	Diocesano(home)	8-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 14
Apr 26, 2026	Villafranca(away)	0-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 14
Apr 19, 2026	Jerez(away)	2-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 14
Apr 12, 2026	Santa Amalia(home)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 14

Marbella
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 22, 2026	Teruel(home)	3-1	Primera División RFEF - Group 2
May 16, 2026	Alcorcon(away)	2-6	Primera División RFEF - Group 2
May 10, 2026	Juventud Torremolinos(home)	0-1	Primera División RFEF - Group 2
May 3, 2026	Eldense(away)	1-3	Primera División RFEF - Group 2
Apr 26, 2026	Sabadell(home)	0-1	Primera División RFEF - Group 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Don Benito win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Marbella win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Feb 9, 2020	Marbella 1-0 Don Benito	Primera División RFEF - Group 4
Sep 22, 2019	Don Benito 1-1 Marbella	Primera División RFEF - Group 4

Last archived meeting: Marbella vs Don Benito on Feb 9, 2020

How many goals should we expect?

Don Benito score 2.1 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Marbella score 1.5 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Don Benito	2.1	0.7	6	6/15	6/15
Marbella	1.5	1.8	3	7/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2024-25 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
18	Don Benito	34	6	8	20	30	51	26

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Don Benito vs Marbella?: The Footlab model makes Don Benito the favourite at 57%, against 26% for a draw and 17% for Marbella.
Where and when is Don Benito vs Marbella played?: Don Benito vs Marbella is played on November 22, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Vicente Sanz, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.