Don Benito vs Marbella: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 12Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Vicente Sanz, Don Benito
The Footlab AI model makes Don Benito the favourite at 61%, against 24% for a draw and 15% for Marbella. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Don Benito vs Marbella?
Don Benito starts as the favourite with a 130-point Elo edge (1,851 vs 1,721).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Don Benito vs Marbella
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Don Benito
Not enough data to predict the Don Benito lineup.
Marbella
4-3-3- 20J. Cambra
- 17Alexiel
- 19E. Ohemeng
- 8Eugeni Valderrama
- 16A. Ruiz
- 10A. Gil
- 22J. Rodriguez
- 23Alberto Escassi
- 2J. Alvarez
- 3Álex Martínez
- 1Manu García
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 07:39 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Don Benito have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Marbella have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Ciudad de Lucena(away) | 2-4 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Estepona(away) | 1-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Sanluqueño(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Xerez(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Las Palmas II(home) | 3-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Badajoz(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Real Betis II(home) | 0-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Puente Genil(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Atlético Central(home) | 4-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Sevilla Atletico(away) | 0-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Don Benito wins, 1 draw, 1 Marbella win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2020 | Marbella 1-0 Don Benito | Primera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 22, 2019 | Don Benito 1-1 Marbella | Primera División RFEF - Group 4 |
Last archived meeting: Marbella vs Don Benito on Feb 9, 2020
How many goals should we expect?
Don Benito score 1.9 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Marbella score 1.2 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Don Benito | 1.9 | 0.8 | 8 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Marbella | 1.2 | 1.9 | 2 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Don Benito sit 6th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 (10 points from 6 matches) and Marbella sit 15th (5 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Don Benito | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 10 |
| 15 | Marbella | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 5 |
A question about Don Benito vs Marbella?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Don Benito vs Marbella?
- The Footlab AI model makes Don Benito the favourite at 61%, against 24% for a draw and 15% for Marbella.
- Where and when is Don Benito vs Marbella played?
- Don Benito vs Marbella is played on November 22, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Vicente Sanz, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 22, 2026AntonianovsAtlético Paso
- Nov 22, 2026Linares DeportivovsSanluqueño
- Nov 22, 2026Recreativo HuelvavsBadajoz
- Nov 22, 2026Ciudad de LucenavsReal Betis II
- Nov 22, 2026Tenerife IIvsTamaraceite
- Nov 22, 2026EsteponavsSevilla Atletico
- Nov 22, 2026Mijas Las LagunasvsLas Palmas II
- Nov 22, 2026Atlético CentralvsXerez